usernamesAreTricky

They have enough votes (at the moment) to force this version to get through the house via a discharge petition (way of going around the speaker). All 212 dems + 10 republicans last I saw. We'll see if the 10 republicans who've said they'd back it actually hold up on final vote since they keep folding under pressure from Trump

Even if they do, I don't know if this has the votes in the Senate / nor is it a veto-proof majority. Though Trump vetoing it would likely rile up his base more on this

The immigrants sent to CECOT were from Venezuela originally, that's why they cared about this. From the article about the motivations about that specifically

The release of the Venezuelans, meanwhile, is an invaluable win for Maduro as he presses his efforts to assert himself as president despite credible evidence that he lost reelection last year.

Long accused of human rights abuses, Maduro for months has used the migrants’ detention in El Salvador to flip the script on the U.S. government, forcing even some of his strongest political opponents to agree with his condemnation of the migrants’ treatment.

Their return will allow Maduro to reaffirm support within his shrinking base, while demonstrating that even if the Trump administration and other nations see him as an illegitimate president, he is still firmly in power.

In other reporting, El Salvador has basically just says that the whole deal was between the US and Venezuela directly and they didn't have involvement besides just moving them out. They were being paid by the US to hold them there in the first place, so now they are presumably just not being paid for it

Tried updating it again to improve it. Any better with the edit to the edit? (May take a bit to federate)

Exactly this. This should mean something like stopping rhetorical attacks on right wing followers and focusing in on leaders and ideas

And then extend that to "if you've been lied to on X maybe they also tricked you on Y". Don't give up Y to try to bring them in

He's hedging and still trying to support some/most of the Trump line, but he isn't doing the usual 100% blind support of Trump

Look through his posts. He posted cuts close to that. He's been criticizing more than just this tweet

https://xcancel.com/realalexjones

This is longer than usual - he's also gotten ratioed on truth social which he never has before. It's normally 3 or so days for stuff to blow over within his camp. It's been 9 days now since the DOJ issued their memo that's sparked this all

I can't tell you what things will look like for certain, but this is not business as usual. Trump also normally doesn't directly insult his own supporters. He has been doing just that multiple times

This is the longest I've seen his base angry at Trump & Republicans for. He got ratioed on Truth Social for the first time ever. He's also doing something he rarely does - telling his base directly that their concerns don't matter to him. Republicans usually manufacture away around issues that still pretends to care about their concerns, but they are not doing that well here

I can't fully predict the future think this leaves a wound that not all the base comes back from and that matters. If say 10-20% of MAGA people don't return, that weakens his grip on power. Some percentage going away enables a permissions structure for future criticism on other issues. Wannabe authoritarians need zero criticism to be acceptable to their followers because the tiniest bit can snow ball

Trump has never been ratioed (more comments than likes) on Truth Social before - he just was here. There is something different going on here and an anger that's lasted longer than normal. Can't fully predict the future here, but this is not typical MAGA dissent. This seems like it will leave a wound

Even if most of the MAGA base goes back to forgetting about this, just 10-20% not doing the same would have a real impact

Though also when breaking down the study earlier to more experience developers, a similar same pattern of within margin of error change or decrease in productivity shows in that metastudy

They are also not comparing the same metrics here. The earlier study is looking at number of commits and pull requests as a metric for productivity. The other is looking at the time per task

Number of commits / PRs / similar kinds of metrics like lines of aren't great for measuring productivity in general and especially here. Usage patterns with AI could very easily change your commit pattern and PR patterns without changing how much you are getting done

Also to note for others: NYC only has ranked choice for mayor in primaries (or special elections), so there is no ranked choice in this general election

Not the person you are replying to, but that is severely underestimating the amount of factory farming. They are the dominant method of production

Based on the EPA's definition of a Concentrated Animal Feeding Operation (i.e factory farm) and USDA census data:

All fish raised in fish farms were considered to be factory-farmed. More than 98% of hens and pigs. For chickens and turkeys, the share was more than 99%. Cows were a bit more likely to be raised outside in fields, with greater space and freedom. Nonetheless, 75% were still fed in concentrated feeding operations for at least 45 days a year.

https://ourworldindata.org/how-many-animals-are-factory-farmed

And even those that are not considered factory farmed don't always look how one may think, for instance non-factory farmed cows still use plenty of grain feed

Currently, 'grass-finished' beef accounts for less than 1% of the current US supply

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aad401

None of this is not limited to the US by any means. For instance in the UK:

There are more than 1,000 US-style mega-farms in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, including some holding as many as a million animals

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/18/uk-has-more-than-1000-livestock-mega-farms-investigation-reveals

Factory farming is unfortunately what scales well. If we want less factory farming we need the industry itself to be smaller. That is no impossible goal. Germany, for instance, has seen its overall meat consumption fall over the last decade

In 2011, Germans ate 138 pounds of meat each year. Today, it’s 121 pounds — a 12.3 percent decline. And much of that decline took place in the last few years, a time period when grocery sales of plant-based food nearly doubled.

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23273338/germany-less-meat-plant-based-vegan-vegetarian-flexitarian