Yes, I fully agree. I phrased myself badly since I should have used "possible" instead of "likely". My bad >~<
Even tho there is a 3rd way in which the ÖVP kicks Nehammer and the "Brandmauer" (stance against right wing populists) with him and forms a coalition with the FPÖ I agree the Grand coalition (ÖVP & SPÖ) is the more likely option they could get NEOS or Greens into the boat (both would get them a 2/3 majority) but they don't need to to get a simple majority. As for why it is likely: the ÖVP can stick to their word that a coalition with the FPÖ is out of question and it would be the major party in any non-FPÖ coalition, it could keep Nehammer as a chancellor.
As for the SPÖ they could showcase Babler's econimically social politics by getting the ministry of health and education (and maybe if they are really good at negotiating the finance, environment or agriculture ministry as well) which could boost their reputation whilst maybe silencing Doskozil.
Further the SPÖ could delegate the hot potato that is migration to the ÖVP and give them the ministry of inner and outer affairs.
Source: https://www.diepresse.com/5628349/identitaere-sellner-wollte-mit-christchurch-attentaeter-auf-ein-bier-gehen
Source (translated):
https://www-diepresse-com.translate.goog/5628349/identitaere-sellner-wollte-mit-christchurch-attentaeter-auf-ein-bier-gehen/?_x_tr_sl=de&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp
So, the attacker donated money to the "Identitäre Bewegung" - the same group Kickl called "worth supporting" and the head of the group Sellner wanted to meet the attacker and have a coffee or beer. Something he later brushes off as being thankful for the donation.
My bad for mixing up who donated to whom btw, I should have re-read that info tbh :<