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The russia economy has been growing at 2-3% for literally decades and has an economy that depends on petrol being $110 a barrel.
They will never stop being a second tier economy unless they wake up to how corrupt and inept their government is. They can’t even brute force it with people - they have ~15mill fewer people than they did going into WWI over 100 years ago.
They are slowly devolving into a rogue state and at this point it’s up to them to solve it. They’ve seceded from the world. Godspeed to them, truly. We have lost a beautiful culture and people to the poor decision making of their government.
They have a nuclear arsenal, meaning "Godspeed to that crumbling rogue state" is a suboptimal position to take on Russia.
So does North Korea.
Flippancy aside, “Godspeed” isn’t “fuck em.” I truly hope they can get their shit together.
The fact they've been growing at all for the last few years is absolutely fucking disgusting. The rest of the world failed to respond and we should be ashamed.
Maybe, maybe not. With such a mass of resources it could've been hard to take it below zero even with all the sanctions and corruption that eats the economy for decades. But here is the thing: GDP is a favorite metric of Putin (and ВВП == his initials lol) but it's misguiding, more so for a semi-wartime economy because military equipment that ends up in ukrainian soil counts as a product too, and with a third of a budget dedicated to that waste, they are actually in a pretty depressive state. Positive numbers don't mean shit if this amount of products is paid and consumed by the government without getting anything back. That's like if one guy on a minecraft server took everyone's diamonds to make 64 diamond hoes, or just dropped them into lava. By more sensible calculations, with the unnaturally ballooning MIC, just a 5% uptick means production of everything else is fried and fucked.
Their growth is due to a war economy, but producing a 10M$ tank that will just get blown up is not really useful even if the 10M$ is "in the economy".
It's like printing more money, looks goot first but it will crash if the money isn't used for economic growth (hint: in russia it isn't).
Also, the wartime economy removes people from economically sound positions and puts them to make weaponry (not for export, to get blown up) which doubles down on the bad idea.
That6s why the inflation is galoping even when the central bank hikes intetest rates like crazy (which stifles good economical growth too!).
The russian economy is so crappy it's crazy it isn't already burning.
Reading this makes me feel sad. Few people are able to destroy a whole culture.