this post was submitted on 20 Aug 2024
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[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 11 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Surrender is out of the question for Ukraine. Russia has shown from the first day of the invasion on, that this war is as much a land grab, as it is a punishment for not being Russian enough.

What? From day 1, Russia has made it clear that it wants to grab the contested territories, and demilitarize Ukraine as a consequence of unimpeded NATO expansion. NATO has ignored Russia's demands and pressed further.

Russia has been grinding for years now with only miniscule wins, while Ukraine has made some very successful counter offensives.

Slow and steady wins are wins. Ukraine hasn't managed to turn the tide.

Ukraine simply has the better army.

With respect to what?

Whether they can win back their territory depends on international support. But even if that fades, I don't see a scenario in which they just give up.

You're saying Ukraine will fight to their last breath? The war is becoming increasingly unpopular as time goes on, do you expect this trend to reverse at some point?

And Russia will only give them an acceptable peace deal if Putin fears for his power or has been removed. This is in part why they launched the Kursk offensive. They need to pressure Putin or continue grinding.

Acceptable to who? You? Wouldn't any agreed upon peace-deal be acceptable?

Also: Holding Russian land is maybe the best bargaining chip they have for future negotiations.

Can they hold it? It seems Kursk is taking away from Ukraine's ability to hold onto key territory.