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TX is already purple, they are afraid of it turning blue.
In 2020, Biden received more votes in TX than NY.
In 2016, Hillary only lost by about 800,000 votes (5% of the registered voters that year). Biden was only behind by about 630,000 votes (3.7% of the registered voters that year).
Edit: forgot to add "behind by" in last sentence
I'll believe Texas is purple when a Democrat wins there. Until then, it is red.
I've been heading for years that Texas was going to be a swing state because people from California were moving there. My theory is that most of the people that are moving there are doing so cause they like the politics. My state is very similar. Lots of California transplants. All the ones I talk to are small business owners that are very much in favor of a republican economy.
The entrenched and gerrymandered Republican legislature and local governance is a huge issue in terms of suppressing the impact of blue voters in Texas.
It is absolutely. However if something goes wrong in a gerrymandered system, it could immediately all tilt to the other side.
Yeah Californians in Ohio are redder than Ohio rednecks. I assume texas is similar.
I don't like the defeatist attitude that TX is red until it's blue because of Democrat victory. We have enough issues getting people to the polls, even though TX was the first state to have early voting (since 1980) with polls open at least 9 hours the first week and at least 12 hours the second week and final day. People use the inconvenience excuse all the time and it really brings down voter turnout.
The people moving in from California are conservatives and according to an exit poll in 2018, when Beto was challenging Cruz, the non-native Texans supported Cruz more while the native Texans were voting more for Beto.
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2018/11/09/native-texans-voted-for-native-texan-beto-o-rourke-transplants-went-for-ted-cruz-exit-poll-shows/
I think hour news story just proves what I was saying. Many people are moving to Texas and making the state more red.
Texans, are likely more purple than anything. Transplants are more red. I dont know if there was ever verification of data but an example is that in 2018 native Texans voted for O'Rourke by like 2%? I think while transplants voted for Cruz by like 5%? Or something. Enough to tilt the race in his direction.
Yep. It’s happening in my state. Californians move to red states to escape the “blue tyranny”. Outside of one purple area they’re basically democrats. 😆