this post was submitted on 30 Aug 2024
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[–] mojofrododojo@lemmy.world -4 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

One in every 20 rolls is a nat 20

...no, no. this is not how probability works, even if it should seem to given the way we describe the odds.

[–] starman2112@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (2 children)

On average. On average. On average!

One in every 20 rolls is a nat 20, ON AVERAGE. That's how probability works. Are you happy now that I corrected it? Was it worth leaving the most pedantic comment on the entire internet?

[–] Gloomy@mander.xyz 6 points 2 weeks ago

The most pedantic comment on average, you mean.

[–] mojofrododojo@lemmy.world -5 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

On average.

yes, that's the important part the OP left out. You stated

One in every 20 rolls is a nat 20

this is incorrect.

[–] starman2112@sh.itjust.works 2 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

You're right, it's only roughly one in every 20 rolls. It's only almost precisely one in every 20 rolls. It's only a 5% chance, which some would say is literally synonymous with "one in every 20 rolls," which isn't strictly true, because it's possible to have more or less than one natural 20 in any run of 20 rolls, because it's only one in every 20 rolls on average.

I've been arguing about the portal paradox all day and these comments have gotten on my nerves more than anyone trying to explain to me that the cube isn't moving

[–] mojofrododojo@lemmy.world 1 points 2 weeks ago

You’re right, it’s only roughly one in every 20 rolls. It’s only almost precisely one in every 20 rolls. It’s only a 5% chance, which some would say is literally synonymous with “one in every 20 rolls,” which isn’t strictly true, because it’s possible to have more or less than one natural 20 in any run of 20 rolls, because it’s only one in every 20 rolls on average.

Glad we can agree.