this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2023
336 points (100.0% liked)
196
17955 readers
772 users here now
Be sure to follow the rule before you head out.
Rule: You must post before you leave.
Other rules
Behavior rules:
- No bigotry (transphobia, racism, etc…)
- No genocide denial
- No support for authoritarian behaviour (incl. Tankies)
- No namecalling
- Accounts from lemmygrad.ml, threads.net, or hexbear.net are held to higher standards
- Other things seen as cleary bad
Posting rules:
- No AI generated content (DALL-E etc…)
- No advertisements
- No gore / violence
- Mutual aid posts are not allowed
NSFW: NSFW content is permitted but it must be tagged and have content warnings. Anything that doesn't adhere to this will be removed. Content warnings should be added like: [penis], [explicit description of sex]. Non-sexualized breasts of any gender are not considered inappropriate and therefore do not need to be blurred/tagged.
If you have any questions, feel free to contact us on our matrix channel or email.
Other 196's:
founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
I think this might have been the answer that helped me the most. Most of all, it's that the Monty Hall problem isn't about you, it's almost entirely about the host's action of revealing doors.
There's a 98/99 chance he left that door because it's the car, or 1/99 because it's the goat (assuming the one left out of calculation is your door which he can't choose). Your original choice, whether or not you picked the car, is largely irrelevant. His actions can't affect your door because he can't choose it
You're not betting on a new set of 1/2, you're not even betting on the door itself having a new probability. You're betting on the act of the host revealing doors.