this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2024
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Serious post here, what are your predictions? Do the US sign on for a subscription to Hitler or Hitler+? What makes you believe this?

My take: Harris eeks out a victory, based on the vibes I get. She may flip NC too. I think that second part because the overall trend of polling has had her slowly increasing on average there. AZ is flipping back to Trump this go around.

Second possibility I see is that the electoral college shenanigans the GOP is angling for in NE actually results in the first ever tie. Supreme court gives it to Trump even though he loses the popular vote. Libs say "ah well, never the less".

Either way, I think there's going to be hog riots in MI, PA, and NC if it flips.

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[–] ReadFanon@hexbear.net 18 points 1 month ago

It's gonna be down to the wire imo.

Kamala has lost steam and there's such desperation from the voteshamers that I think most of her supporters have at least some degree of latent awareness that she isn't capable of drawing in support outside of her base, either to the right of her or to the left.

Donald is low energy but almost all of his base is willing to hold their nose and vote for him, which drives the Blue MAGA crowd wild with envy. I really don't look at that end of US politics much at all because it's gross and I don't have the stomach for it, plus it achieves nothing whereas there's a chance I might be able to peel off the occasional progressive whereas conservatives are low yield per input so my take is that it's a waste of time focusing on them. (Don't get me wrong I'll agitate anyone opportunistically, even a diehard Trump supporter, but I'm really not focusing my energy on honing my rhetoric and hooking in to their primary concerns because there are much easier targets out there.)

I think in it being such a close race it's probably going to come down to one of those key states falling to one side or the other and who really knows which way the chips are going to fall in that situation?

If Trump wins I think he'll lose the popular vote though.

If this happens, I'm going to blame the Dems for how they had the opportunity to abolish the electoral college, to make the presidential election a popular vote, and establishing ranked-choice voting to instead push through military aid and financial relief to support the genocide in Gaza as their top priority which means Joe Biden chose this and now we have to respect that choice and live with the consequences of it because Biden and Harris didn't want to listen to the voter base.