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https://x.com/auroragberry/status/1847338731876778131
The board of trustees are thought to be meeting in a nearby building. Nearly 200 protesters are gathered on the lawn. Demonstrators are calling for the university to divest from weapons manufacturers.
Since 2016 I've been convinced the only thing that really matters I energising your base and trumps base is crazy for him. Voter turnout is so low it doesn't matter that much how many like you, just that those that do go vote.
Kamala has the same pitch Hillary had. She's coasting a bit on Joe's wave and Joe only just barely won in 2020 due to COVID and riots. He was promoted as "harm reduction" and you're seeing them trying out that coat of paint with her as well, but it's not really sticking. Not with four years of broken promises and proudly expanding republican policies. On top of that theres "no" COVID, so I don't see the Dems making it far.
People aren't excited for Kamala most are just holding their nose to get rid of Trump.
Trump has gotten older and weirder, so maybe he's run out of gas, but I really think we're gonna see a repeat of 2016. Seems like the Dems learned nothing from back then. They might get very lucky and have him experience some rapid developing variant of dementia. Seems like something is happening to him.
I think the big thing is that the for the Dems this is 2020 again: "We're gonna take Trump seriously this time", but for the rest of the world it's 2024: "How are you any different from him?"
It's been like this forever in the US. You win by getting your side to show up. Democrats outnumber republicans nearly 2 to 1. Republicans know this so they use voter suppression antics. Trump won in 2016 because his supporters were energetic. They do not want mail-in ballots to become universal because they'd never win another election. Democrats knew this in 2008 but seem to have forgotten since.
It's the nature of the US election system that causes this where the side that wins is the side who had an easier time voting.
That used to be true but I don't know if it is anymore. The coalition has shattered. Democrats became neocons and scooped up the "moderate Republicans" but lost all of their leftwing and all progressives. They've lost immigrants. They're losing the trade unionists. They're losing hispanics and blacks. They're losing the youth vote. It's all slipping away from them, the so called inevitable demographic takeover is shrinking backwards faster than it is advancing as Democrats slide to the right and aim all their appeal towards financially secure boomers. There's a real possibility and certain electoral paths where Trump wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college, something unthinkable before 2016.
Yeah exactly and I think the republicans have done a lot to make it harder for Dems to vote + Trumps base is more energised