While I've honestly been trying to tune out the election shit, I was streaming the world series feed (through completely legal means I can assure you) from a Fox station in Florida. Much to my dismay, I was completely bombarded by these ads saying Trump supports amendement 3 which would legalize weed in the state. I scroll on social media for like 5 mins later on and I see this fucker on Joe Rogan.
Its a pretty clear attempt at targeting independent socially moderate/liberalish fiscally conservative independent bros that, honestly exist and could decide the election if its close. All while Kamala is really leaning into winning over "dick cheney democrats" that dont exist outside of focus groups in the beltway.
Im calling it now. Trumps winning again.
Yeah 538 has slowly been inching towards a more likely Trump win:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Monday it was 50/50. Tuesday it was Trump 51/Harris 49. Right now it's 53/47.
Once again the Democrats are losing the most easily winnable election ever, except this time all they had to do was not support and fund a holocaust.
And even if that's literally all they did, they'd still be to the right of Ronald Reagan.
They're losing ground every day, you'd think they'd realize their strategy was wrong.
Instead they'll double down and move even farther to the right to try and win back the voters they're hemorrhaging.
They were doing so well with the weird thing and then they brought on advisers from the UK Labour party lol
The Labour Party which had the brilliant election strategy of just having Tory policies with a bit more austerity so that the media would finally let the actual Tories collapse and rebuild.
You can note that the dems immediately started hugging bush era republicans and positioning themselves as the "true" republican party, probably hoping for the same thing to happen in the US.
The Labour Party that won 33% of an election that had an almost record-low turnout. lmao.
Yeah, the big difference wasn't people voting more for Labour, but that there was a splinter party and the press was less than completely glowing towards the tories. Also that SNP decided to spontaneously combust.
More people voted for Labour in 2019, an election that I've been told was the worst election ever by very serious Blairites. And even with the lower turnout they only gained 1.5% of the popular vote. They are an exceptionally weak majority party and have already pissed away all the good will they could have had pushing any good policy.
We can only ever expect the managerial class to double-down on mediocrity.
The british accent has the ability to ensnare the american mind
It also played on the innate desire that every democrat has for republicans and bipartisanship. Republicans campaign on getting their (terrible) positions pushed, democrats campaign on their ability to work with the republicans.
The labour party, that lost 3 million votes since the last election cycle and only won because the tories fucked up that badly.
Wow, that's so close that it's basically a toss-up. Of course, the outcome I'm really hoping for is the <1% chance of a 270 split...