this post was submitted on 03 Feb 2025
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I think this is the most plausible theory and a good hypothesis test will be Haiti. USAID has been active there since at least the 2004 coup, but now the new dependent government was collapsed through presidential murder and the country became a non-state "ruled" by a collection of bourgeois representatives de facto appointed by US-led CARICOM, with the main US representative being the NED/USAID-funded RNDDH.
Now this council is relying less on soft-power and political influence and more on a foreign legion composed mainly of Kenyans (with other CARICOM nations joining recently) under the leadership of the 51st US state up north. If the hypothesis holds up, this same form of control should manifest itself in other "allied" dependent nations, like Argentina (though obviously in a less explicitly racist manner).
That is a very good point about Haiti. As i always like to say, we will have to wait and see. For now we can hypothesize but we need more data before we can draw a reliable conclusion.