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Bird Flu Is Now Killing Cats at a 90% Fatality Rate – Experts Warn It Could Jump to Humans
(scitechdaily.com)
this post was submitted on 21 May 2025
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chapotraphouse
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The timeline is really more like a hundred years at least, and even then you're relying heavily on catastrophic and sometimes dubious tipping points
Based on?
Which part? Things like the clathrate gun hypothesis, or that it will likely be hundreds of years and still a lot of effort for humanity to be done?
For the latter, I think you can take the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum as the "done" point (I don't really agree there is such a point because people already live in ridiculous conditions now, and you can protect yourself from a wet bulb event for the price of a car) and from memory under RCP 8.5 (and drilling up the arctic) the IPCC modelling put that at a couple hundred years off.