this post was submitted on 18 Jun 2025
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[โ€“] int_not_found@feddit.org 6 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago)

While I agree with the Duopolies are bad statement. I don't see how Brazil or China would be able to break this in the near to medium future.

Brazil/Embraer are quite happy in the regional/ business jet niche. Their CEO recently said that they have no plans to break into new markets. And even if they would start developing a new narrow body aircraft, they would need at least a decade before they could deliver it.

China/Comac theoretically have a narrow body aircraft in production, but they seem to have lost the ambition to get this aircraft certified outside of China. Looks like they are unable to meet international safety standards with the C919. For the C929 or the C939 to be competitive , they would need to fly international and thus fulfill even higher standards than the ones already missed by the C919.