this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
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Bulletins and News Discussion from July 7th to July 13th, 2025 - Sanctions on Russia: The Sequel
(hexbear.net)
Image is of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline, which transports gas from Russia to China. This isn't an oil pipeline (such as the ESPO) but I thought it looked cool. Source here.
Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia's oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that "align themselves with BRICS." Considering that China is the largest trading partner of most of the countries on the planet at this point, and India and Brazil are reasonably strong regional players, I'm not sure what exactly "alignment" means, but it could be pretty bad.
Sanctions and tariffs on Russian products have been difficult to achieve in practice. It's easy to write an order to sanction Russia, but much harder to actually enforce these sorts of things because of, for example, the Russian shadow oil fleet, or countries like Kazakhstan acting as covert middlemen (well, as covert as a very sudden oil export boom can be).
Considering that China was pretty soundly victorious last time around, I'm cautiously optimistic, especially because China and India just outright cutting off their supply of energy and fuel would be catastrophic to them (and if Iran and Israel go to war again any time in the near future, it'll only be more disastrous). Barring China and India kowtowing to Trump and copying Europe vis-a-vis Nordstream 2 (which isn't impossible, I suppose), the question is whether China and India will appear to accede to these commands while secretly continuing trade with Russia through middlemen, or if they will be more defiant in the face of American pressure.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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With how much Russia is able to sustain toe-to-for attrition warfare against the west, imagine if the USSR, even in its late stages under Gorbachev, actually committed to a full scale attrition war against the West when it continued its imperialist aggressions. Actually took control of Europe by force and kept the West out of Eurasia and Africa.
Over half of Ukraine’s munitions and equipment is ex-soviet. Imagine if that was pointed West instead of East while we had the chance. The war would be a guaranteed victory.
I really think prioritizing unjust peace over anti-imperialist principled positions has been the most consistent mistake of the socialist projects thus far. War should not be shirked from over all else or we get Pez and Gorby and China’s foreign policy, which results in the West setting up as it sees fit to pick off the weakest links one by one.
I get what you are saying and agree mostly, however I think it is important to understand that war is generally deeply unpopular with working class people (who aren’t fascists and/or settlers with reactionary brainworms) and fundamentally, communism is the anti-war perspective. It is true that anti-imperlialist wars and wars of liberation ultimately serve the anti-war cause, but the people fighting and dying on both sides will be the working class- and unlike other systems, Socialist power and authority ultimately is rooted in the opinions of the masses… not to mention the toll the entire world pays from nuclear holocaust. The US unfortunately had unchallenged nuclear arms for a few critically important years. The first open conflict between the socialist world and capitalist class after WW2, The US war in Korea, for example, began a little less than a year after the Soviet Union got the bomb, and we don’t really know what would have happened if the USSR got atomic weapons later or not at all. Would the DPRK even exist?
The people generally are for a more aggressive stance, while it's the leaders who are capitulationist. Look at Armenia and Iran right now, there are protests and riots because they are pissed at the governments inaction and cowardice against western aggression. The people demand a stronger stance.
Yeah,on account of them being directly and consistently targeted by western or western aligned military action in the last couple of years
Now try telling the average Chinese person to prepare to live in brutal wartime rationing conditions,or god forbid, actually fight all over Asia to dismantle US hegemony and you'll see the ROC flag in Beijing in a week
Try telling a Vietnamese person to continue the work of the Vietcong, pick up a rifle and topple the governments of Thailand and the Philippines and you'll see that fugly yellow flag flying in Hanoi
Only places where that might get play are North Korea,where they were effectively bombed back a few centuries and are constantly threatened by the US that next time they'll "finish the job" and maybe Cuba, who already repelled multiple invasion attempts and is being strangled by the US embargo
Very few people alive in the DPRK were around for the Korean War. The reason the population remains committed to anti-imperialist principles even decades and generations later is because of a good education system and strong socialist public life. The extent to which the Chinese and USSR populations were too complacent to defend their comrades abroad is a failure of those educational systems.
China allied with the US to fight against the USSR - the country that kickstarted its industrial, scientific and technological base - not even 20 years after the US killed half a million People’s Volunteer Army during the Korean War.
Vietnam was carpet-bombed to hell by the US with millions and millions of casualties, and yet they are just as keen to serve the US empire today, and has been so since the end of the USSR.
This is just socialist countries using their understanding the material reality to do what they have to do to get ahead in the world, because they very consciously do not want to end up like the DPRK. To pretend otherwise is to assume that the leaders of these socialist countries are stupid.