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Hamas doesn't surrender and 90% of the inhabitants of Gaza starves to death? WIN! Now you can "mop up" the remains and occupy the region with near to none opposition.
Hamas does surrender? WIN! You can claim a historic victory, jail every Hamas member that come forth and occupy the region with near to none opposition.
On a psychopathic level devoid of any ethics it is genious...
If there is no armed resistance in Gaza, Israel can "mob up" without any difficulty.
The reason why many intelligence and military people now voiced concern is not because they care about the lives of the Palestinian people, but because Gaza is a nightmare to conquer and occupy. Hamas and other armed groups are very creative and had decades to fortify Gaza for another invasion. For instance a lot of the explosives they use for their traps are unexploded ordnance from Israeli attacks.
Israel in large part used to blow up buildings in Gaza with US made anti-tank mines. They move to use the D9 armored bulldozers instead, because the fighters could capture significant stockpiles of mines and use them to blow up Israeli tanks. Now the bulldozers are easy targets for sniper fire and explosive attacks. Israel seems to rarely send in soldiers on foot, instead relying on heavily armored troop carriers that end up becoming sitting ducks and targeted with self made rocket launchers, shaped charges or having an explosive dropped in the often open hatch. There even was a video of fighters using an artillery rocket by simply laying on the ground and triggering the charge so it would fly forward towards a target.
Israels army hasn't fought a proper war on the ground for many years. Most soldiers are just used to pushing around women and children in the Westbank than to actually fighting against an armed opposition. The key strength of Israel is its airforce. But bombing things to rubble only gets you so far, as the US and NATO have seen in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen...
While true, are there enough Palestinians left in Gaza to mount such a resistance?
You don't need many people to make it hell for the occupiers to occupy. The Sunni "insurgency" in US+allies occupied Iraq was estimated to have about 3,000-7,000 fighters. Meanwhile the US had up to 160,000 occupation soldiers staged in Iraq around 2005-2006 before slowly giving up against the resistance.
This is also why Israel aims on building concentration camps. It makes resistance much harder to organize than if people still have their own homes, have jobs and can meet without direct surveillance.
It's not genius at all, at least not on the basis of "winning". There is no "winning" this conflict without a political solution, and there is no political solution without full rights for Palestinians.
Netanyahu is judging that the world will let him get away with genocide as long as he does it slowly. If he actually genocides Palestine, he won't have a problem any more.
Well... there is a winning situation for Israel (and i assume they are moving in this direction): No Palestinians, no further problems.