this post was submitted on 11 Dec 2023
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Bab el Mandab is a very narrow strait and the Houthis have the ability to strike anywhere in the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea
With what? They have no naval military craft at all, zero. The most they have is drones, though they have been noted to be useful only with harassment engagements.
Also they absolutely do not have free reign over the Arabian and Red seas. That is one of the most high defended areas in the world, with anti piracy operations from UN nations constantly patrolling, destroying, and capturing pirates and smugglers. The Chinese, Americans, Russians, French, and British all have their own naval base and airfield in Djibouti for the express purpose of supporting those operations. Plus air and naval assets from dozens of UN countries.
Bab el Mandab??? You’re kidding right? I’m sure trying to capture or destroy a ship 25 meters away from the combined naval and air assets of nearly 45 countries is going to go well.
As Harun Al-Rashid once said to Niqpur: the answer is what you will see not hear.
Just sit down and watch. Not the first time the Yemenis defeated an empire
That's just an intricate way of saying, "I have no clue, but trust me".
We can only hope, but I am not to optimistic about their chances at all.
You are underestimating the Yemenis. It is the Afghanistan of the Arab world. If the US gets involved there, it will make Iraq seem like a cake walk.
Just consider what they did with one tweet: https://twitter.com/army21ye/status/1728421437570998366
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/zim-container-ship-diverts-as-threat-to-israel-linked-vessels-mounts
The big question is what does Israel do during the hostile takeover of all its major companies when Palestinians use the windfall from hedging against the Israeli economy to buy controlling interests in Israeli companies whose shares plummet in value because Palestine's allies are using topiary to keep that hedge in the shape of a giant keffiyeh?
Still holding the same view now?
What was my view? That I can't tell the future? I was just wary of almost looking like a Ukraine lib and making insane claims about what Ansar Allah could accomplish.
I've been very happy and surprised with the progress that Ansar Allah have made though! I'm a lot more optimistic about their long-term prospects now! It's still very early though, but at least their efforts are making strides!
Cheers comrade. May you always be pleasantly surprised
I look forward to that! Each blow goes a long way!
I just checked the bases on Google Maps. Wild how they aren't blurred lol. I could even count US airplanes there from my lazy couch.
It’s a bit silly because you’ll check out the area surrounding the capital, and it’s just normal farmland, rural areas, and minor infrastructure, then out of nowhere…
CHINESE PEOPLE’S LIBERATION ARMY.
Or a random airport in the middle of the desert that seems inconspicuous enough… then you realize the terminals are lined up with Reaper drones.
Nothing beats scrolling through the same farmland to suddenly seeing PIZZAHUT SUBWAY PLANET SMOOTHIE and you realize you're in a US Air Base.
Don’t forget the two separate bars. And the “small laundry”, and literal shopping mall so that airmen can go shopping after some bombing runs.
The US is a joke.
Also wow, we were talking about two different airports lmao. I think I stumbled across the US drone base further inland. The one by the coast is the major base.
Also love how they leave all those Ospreys out baking in the African sun, then get surprised when they break down.
It is a bit surreal though to look at the pier and see a bunch of US Navy, PLAN, and Russian navy ships all moored next to each other or tied to one another.