229
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2024
229 points (92.9% liked)
politics
18073 readers
4502 users here now
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect!
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
Life expectancy as just a single number is a pretty useless static. It says almost nothing about any single individual. First off usually when not specified a single LE number is a life expectancy at birth. So that 79.25 years is likely for a baby born this year in the US.
Second and more importantly as you age your life expectancy goes up. Basically you have out lived every one who has died and dragged the average down. At 77 you are expected to have 9 more years of life. It is not until you are 111 that you are more likely to die this year than not.
Statistics are a funny thing
https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
No, that starts at age 106 as shown by the first column in your link.
Statistics really are a funny thing.
Are you sure? The first column is just real age. At age 106 it says that life expectancy is 1.36 years. If I am reading this wrong please tell me.
It's the column adjacent to age, labeled "death probability". It surpasses 0.5 at 106 for men, 107 for women.
Life expectancy doesn't tell you this probability. Imagine you had ten 106 year olds. Five die this year, two die next year, one dies after two years, one dies after three years, and one dies after four years. One year survival probability is 0.5, but life expectancy is greater than 1 year.
Yep yep got you now