this post was submitted on 21 Jan 2024
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Hybrids are great, but straight evs only work if you have two vehicles and use the EV to commute around locally in a city. EVs lose around 1.5 to 2% of range per year and lose 30% of their range during cold weather. Then if the battery fails in a long range EV you're looking at a $10,000 to $25,000 bill to replace it, making all those vehicles you can see now that are 20 years old and still road worthy a thing of the past. If the US actually swapped to mostly EV it would destroy anyone who has to rely on buying older vehicles to get by.
EV also in its current state is no good for anyone in apartments or renting or places that can't easily plug in their vehicles from home. A for lightning for instance takes like 4 days to charge on a 120v outlet and while it advertises a range of 300 miles, it's cold weather mileage is about 210 and stopping at a fast charge station to quick charge up to 90% will cost you $50. No better and often worse on prices than an ice. In this sense it only works out well if you have a house with a garage for your vehicle and an added bonus if you have solar panels. Right now though, that's not most of the population at all.
I have a different experience with EVs.
I've got an EV with 265mi of range and an ICE car. I almost never use the ICE car, except for 2 reasons: is a 7-seater and sometimes I need both cars at the same time. In 100% of all cases, no matter how short or long the drive is, no matter the temperature outside (I live in an area where we get all the way to -40 and multiple months below 32F/0C.
I've never had any problem with that. I mostly charge home, this is where I agree that it's a lot more convenient if you have a driveway, but all new and recent constructions are required to come with EV plugs in apartment complexes, etc. More and more lvl2 chargers are being installed throughout the city. Spent 5 days at my sister in law's in the city while we lost electricity at home, I simply charged at work during the week and one time I went to charge at the corner of the street (<2min walk) for a few hours. It was actually a lot easier than I thought it would be.
The range decrease is no real issue during winter, my day starts with 100% of range everyday and in long road trips I will stop more frequently, but only for about 15-20 min max every few hours and will cost about 10$/charge. Super simple.
I thought I'd wanted to keep an ICE car as the second one, but already I see no point in it.
The only concern I think is valid is degradation in the long run. But best EV cars have very little degradation (as you mentioned), but also we technology improves, the batteries get better and better as well as cheaper, so I believe the batteries in 20 years will be incredible compared to today's which is already super impressive. Also the infrastructure will be a lot better. Replacing a battery won't cost as much.
2 years with an EV now and I can't see many reasons to use ICE cars. Only left are heavy lifters (pickup trucks who tow big trailers everyday in winter, that's a 75% range reduction). But this will also improve.
A lot of what you're saying is also future casting, though. Today's batteries aren't quite yet there (I'm hoping the solid state batteries toyota claims will be in cars in 2027 comes to fruition), the infrastructure isn't quite there yet, 98% of apartments etc aren't new construction with those chargers installed yet, and just fyi, if you're charging your battery to 100% every day you're battery is going to degrade quicker than the average. The most damage to ev batteries in the charge cycle is the last 10% of range and first 15% (depending on your vehicles programming. Generally 0% isn't really 0 and 100% isn't actually 100 for this reason).
Then, of course, you've paid more for the EV and if you keep it over 10 years it will take a much bigger price decline in value than an ice vehicle. This varies a lot depending on how often you plan to replace yours.
For myself, I'm staying ice or hybrids until the ev batteries are better. I like my hybrid and they'll go over 300,000 miles if you take care of them. I put a new oem hybrid battery in mine last year I bought for $1900 and the car has 0 issues with 240,000 miles on it so far.