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I would imagine the 10+ demographic has the highest rates of attrition. Those people will have witnessed most of the transition from niche to lowest common denominator. Everyone knows the adage that 100k is the subreddit limit after which the community breaks down. It would happen here too. The discourse here is uncannily like the 2009 Reddit I remember. People are polite and well informed. I hope the localised and open nature of the service keeps it that way.
Prediction: Reddit will become a cesspit of advertising and data harvesting, a la Facebook. It's most of the way there already.
Been on Reddit for about 8 years, but I’ve seen enough. Once a company starts treating you like trash, it’s time to go. These things have happened with other platforms too, and I’ve always found a better alternative somewhere.
Same reason here. Even tho I’m quite a recent user to be honest of Reddit (only got in 2020)
And of course there are the trolls!
Even they are still properly trolly around here! How nostalgic! Maybe not even a bot.
It happens, but less for now, because of the current pioneer demographic.
You remember when Reddiquette was a thing? I remember when Reddiquette was a thing.
In Brazil we had a social media site that was huge during the 2000s called Orkut, it was owned by Google. It was sort of a mix between Reddit and Facebook: you had your own profile with pictures but you could also join communities that were organized in a searchable manner, like Reddit. Several of those communities migrated to Facebook, but they lost A LOT because Facebook wasn't meant to be used in this way.
I think the same thing will happen with Reddit. It will be more like 9gag and less like Reddit. Communities like r/funny or r/whatcouldgowrong will prosper while communities like r/askhistory will move forward crippled.
I don't think Lemmy will get a relevant share of Reddit (on Reddit's perspective) users. It has already obtained a relevant amount of Reddit users (on Lemmy's perspective) and it should keep being pushed for Reddit orphans, but it will be smaller and communities here shouldn't be as restrictive as they would be on Reddit. Instead of making c/dogs, make c/pets and include dog owners, bird owners, fish owners, else you will exclude people and have a dead community.