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My state is going to go to Biden. A Republican hasn't won my state in over 40 years. With a forgone conclusion, and a winner take all approach to electoral votes, my vote essentially doesn't matter unless I vote for a third party. If I can help them get 20% of the popular vote, theyll be in a much better position in 2028 and maybe we'll see some real change finally.
Also lmao at thinking a libertarian will siphon votes from the left. Also fuck you for telling me how to vote.
Ok let's think of the best case scenario of your choice affecting the election of your state meaningfully. Your third party candidate turns out to actually win your state woooooo!!! But wait that means that unless other states have turnout for that candidate you're state basically just wasted it's vote.
The best case scenario is that my candidate gets 20% of the popular vote and their party gets an automatic spot in the debates in 2028. I don't expect them to win any state outright in 2024, and if they did CT doesn't have enough electoral votes to affect the election in a meaningful way anyway