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Bypassing her could have a powerful effect on black voters, who we need if we're going to win. If Harris can't win because no one likes her, and no one else can win because black voters are affronted by skipping her when it's her turn, we're just well and truly fucked.
Black voters aren't a monolithic block and they aren't as identity focused as people accuse them of being (well outside of Obama being the first black president). If the candidate has a solid track record of helping minority communities we'd likely see a pretty good turn out.
No, but if they turn out in lower numbers we are in trouble. They don't have to leave as a monolith, just takes agitators to decry the action as racist hypocrisy by the left and maybe 10% of them stay home. That scenario works hurt a lot.
I mean it's speculation. I don't know what the risk or damage would actually be. Maybe I'm overly concerned, but I am concerned.
It's definitely worth being concerned about, but the entire democratic shitshow has been worth being concerned about for a good while now.
I think it would depend heavily on who they skipped over her in favour of. Unfortunately I can't really think of an obvious replacement that won't ruffle feathers one way or another, it's just a matter of minimizing it. A pretty middle-age-or-older white guy is right out, bad plan, so that's probably the plan the DNC would go with
Black voters are going to be upset if they skip the person who disproportionately prossecuted black people?
Well, then do what they should have done 5 months ago find a likable person as a replacement.
Black voters, the same as all voters, barely look into stuff like this. They don't know her history.
Let me know when you get a time machine