this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2024
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politics

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[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 18 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

Just one poll though, I ran the numbers just yesterday, in PA, there's one showing Trump with a small lead, one showing a tie, and multiple showing Harris leading +3 to +6.

I think it's safe to say the tie and Trump polls are outliers.

Arizona: Toss Up, Trump +1, Tie
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/arizona/

Nevada: Toss Up, Harris +1, Trump +1
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nevada/

New Mexico: Harris +5, +10
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/new-mexico/

Georgia: Trump +1, +2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/georgia/

North Carolina: Toss Up, Harris +1, +3, Trump +1, +2, +3
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/

Pennsylvania: Harris +3, +5, +6, Trump +2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

Michigan: Harris +1, +3, +5, Tie, Trump +1
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

Wisconsin: Harris +1, +2, +3
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/

Minnesota: Harris +4, +5, +7, +9
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/minnesota/

Overall, Harris looks a lot stronger than last week. Even losing Georgia, clawing back PA from Trump and moving Wisconsin fron toss-up to Harris gives her EXACTLY 270.

On the map:

I think this is the first time since Biden dropped out that any candidate has hit the magic 270 number.

[–] Big_Boss_77@lemmynsfw.com 11 points 1 month ago

Appreciate the analysis, neighbor. Now let's go vote.

[–] makeshiftreaper@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I'd be interested to see what polls say about NC with the Robinson stuff by next week

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

Yup. One to watch!

[–] Clent@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago

May I suggest.

Click on a state to see its polling over time.

[–] kowcop@aussie.zone 3 points 1 month ago

As a non-American looking in, this quote seems to fit .. “Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

[–] MediaBiasFactChecker@lemmy.world -4 points 1 month ago

Washington Post - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)Information for Washington Post:

MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source

Search topics on Ground.Newshttps://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/19/polling-harris-trump-pennsylvania-debate/
Media Bias Fact Check | bot support