TempermentalAnomaly

After 2022, the majority of the funding comes from never Trumpers.

In 2022, the Forward Party merged with the Renew America Movement and the Serve America Movement.

Renew America Movement was a political group founded by former members of the Trump, George W. Bush, George H..W. Bush, and Reagan administrations. The Serve America Movement was a broad coalition party formed by former President George W. Bush staffers, including National Security Council director Sarah Lenti. Both groups pursued centrist political platforms similar to Forward.

In the 2022 election cycle, most of the Forward Party’s donations have come from its two merger partners, the Renew America Movement and Serve America Movement, which contributed almost $1 million combined.

(source)

While the virus is typically fatal in poultry, it is usually mild for humans. Symptoms include fever, chills, eye redness and respiratory sickness, like cough and sore throat.

In a statement, Clackamas County Public Health Officer Sarah Present said they’ve been “closely monitoring people exposed to the animal outbreak, which is how this case was identified. The individual experienced only mild illness and has fully recovered.”

Health officials say the risk to the public is low, and there is “no evidence of person-to-person transmission.”

This isn't a recent phenomena. Bernie's statement calls out the Democrats behavior over the last 30 years which puts you right in the middle of the first term of Clinton. However, Clinton was the first Democratic executive that had a chance to really enact a strategic change in the Democratic party that was first formulated after the chaos and losses of 1968.

Before 1968, the democrat party was tightly knit with union interest and the selection of a presidential candidate was done behind closed doors by party bosses. This is how it was done in 1968 resulting in Hubert Humphrey. Hubert Humphrey was an establishment candidate and VP to a very unpopular president who decided not to run for a second term. Robert Kennedy was very popular, but assisted before the convention. There were other candidates, but Hubert Humphrey enters the race after the 12 primaries had closed, but before the convention. There were a lot of reasons for chaos at the Democratic Convention in 1968, but this was one. Humphrey was chosen in an undemocratic fashion by party bosses despite lacking wide support by the base. I'm not saying history repeated itself, but it sure rhymes.

So Humphrey loses. The next four years results in reflection buly the party, an internal document called the McGovern-Frasier report is created, the selection process becomes more democratic causing candidates to make a wider tent for an intra-party coalition resulting in the nomination of McGovern eho whose major focus was to get the US out of Vietnam. Major unions decide not to back him and, well, he gets his ass kicked.

More reflection and the Trilateral Commission conclude that "excessive democracy" had resulted in the erosion of economic and political stability. So unions are still important in America at this point, but there's a growing shift from an industrial society to a professional services society starting to happen. The members of the Trilateral Commission see this and start to court this group. Meanwhile, colleges increase enrollment accepting non-traditional students to matriculate.

Jimmy Carter, a member of the Trilateral Commission, is elected and enacts several neo liberal policies such as deregulating the airlines and creating natural gas markets. He fails a bid for a second term, but the tenor of what is yet to come has been sounded. Atari-democrats, young ambitious tech savvy, step to the fore and represented by someone like Gary Hart. He fails to get the nomination mainly because he had an affair and Mondale gets the nod. Mondale was an old school dem who supported labor and Carter's VP. He loses worse than McGovern in 1972.

In 1988, Dukakis runs trying to bridge the old Dems and the new Dems. Like riding two horses, he fails. That's four out five election losses. 1992, a young whipper snapper from Arkansas steps to the plate and wins with an outstanding 43% of the popular vote. Wait! How could be, you ask? You see, Nader isn't the only spoiler candidate. One free wheeling Texas business man named Ross Perot got about 20% of the popular vote. I still remember is slide presentation on network television.

But I digress. This administration, knowing they just barely won, does what anyone who hasn't won in a whole and makes radical changes. Good bye old guard and welcome the new way of ruling. One notable survivor of the purge was Joe Biden. They deregulate more industries and open more trade with NAFTA, CAFTA, China and help rebuilding a newly democratized Russia. Not all of this happened in the first term, but these were all important events. W campaigned on an isolationist strategy in response to much of this. From 1993 to 2013, we lived in the Clinton era. Biden isn't really aligned with it deeply. He's been the middle ground man and probably is more closely aligned to Mondale or Dukakis.

The stock market takes off during the first tech boom, but the vast majority of the spoils go to the professional class and the rich. The working class is doing better because everyone is doing better, but not keeping up. Meanwhile factories are closing and we aren't investing in infrastrcuture. Also, if you want your kids to have a future, send them to college. Can't afford it? No worries, here are some loans. It's for your children. Good luck!

It's during this time that you see them not resisting neocon war mongering. War mongering guts the working class. You see Obama not helping out the working class after the 2008 financial crisis. But who cares? The stock market is soaring! What do mean you don't have any extra cash to invest. Good luck!

2016 had primaries, but everyone knew they'd regret it if they got in the way of Hillary. It was her turn and we deserved a woman president. Biden regrets sitting this out. I don't know if he would have had a chance, but being VP, it would have been a fight of two different visions. Throw in Bernie and there's a real decision to be made.

Well damn... This was far too long. Hopefully it was an interesting read. Yeah, there's five examples in here, but the damage is far more subtle over the course of several decades. The working class, when unionized, were powerful. And politics were fucked up. Then we gutted them and an industrial base and shit's fucked up in a new way. No easy answers. Just grinding.

I think this is what they were talking about about when labeling liberals with "misandry":

“White men without college degrees are going to ruin this country.

You could still mark one candidate in Portland's RCV.

I feel like we've strayed very far from the original statement.

I’m just gonna keep hammering this in for a while. 81 million Democrats voted in 2020, but only 71 million this year. Trump won by 3.5 million. But hey, at least all you righteous little angels aren’t “complicit in genocide”, right? Think about that while you polish your halos. YOU did this.

In our electoral college system the total national vote isn't the cause of a president getting elected. Many of the people who didn't turn out were in states that were already considered Democrat strongholds such as New Jersey. Only seven states mattered. They were close enough that the polls weren't able to tell who was in the lead. Both Republicans and Democrats spent a lot of money on spreading their message and getting out the vote. These seven states had record or near record turn out.

In light of all of this, what is your argument?

Here's a link to an Argis map. You can turn on the layer for current districts and the select the election turnout for 2020.

Here is a link to the 2020 vote count by precinct. Using the Argis map, I'd like up the District 1 precincts and then compare it to the the argis map to see which ones are in district 1. Too bad the file is a image based PDF and not a CSV.

Any case, it's doable.
Personally, I'm most interested in getting District 1 turnout to increase.

81 million Democrats voted in 2020, but only 71 million this year. Trump won by 3.5 million.

This is the national popular vote.

When states allocate their electoral votes, it's based upon the state's popular vote. So if a candidate gets the most votes in California. If only one person votes for that candidate in California, the candidate gets all the electoral votes in California. If everyone votes in Alaska, the winning candidate only gets Alaska's electoral votes.

The national popular vote isn't meaningful in determining the president. The only determinant is the electoral college.

I wouldn't. Popular vote doesn't have a meaningful role in determining the presidency.

What does gerrymandering have to do with winning a state's electoral college delegates outside of Maine and Nebraska? States award all their delegates to the winner of the states popular vote.

In east Portland, the city’s poorest and most racially diverse quadrant, a combination of low voter turnout and low rates of ranking even a single City Council candidate by voters who did cast ballots meant only 39% of registered voters had any say in which three candidates will represent the district, the newsroom analysis found.

I wonder if voter turnout was below, about even, or above the average for the last 20 years. And then what percentage of registered voters had a say in those. Hopefully, the city council and ranked choice voting advocates will do some outreach.

In the district encompassing Portland east of Interstate 205, 29% of residents who cast ballots didn’t rank any of the 16 candidates running. That figure was 18% in North and Northeast Portland (22 candidates); 17% in Southeast Portland (30 candidates); 17% in the city’s westside district (30 candidates); and an average of 20% citywide. Only 7% of voters who cast ballots in the November 2022 election sat out the highly polarized City Council runoff between Jo Ann Hardesty and Rene Gonzalez. And 13% did in the fall 2020 contest between Chloe Eudaly and Mingus Mapps.

In a linked article:

The portion of Portland east of Interstate 205, home to nearly a quarter of the city’s population and its least economically advantaged stretch, had just two residents elected to the council in all of city history.

Now it's five. This isn't an excuse to not do outreach, but this shows far more directly that the people from their neighborhoods are representing them. I hope council members will do community building events.

What's the limit?