limitedduck

joined 1 year ago
[–] limitedduck@awful.systems 1 points 1 year ago

My takeaways would be:

  1. Never trust averages on their face
  2. Being consistent gives you an advantage
  3. Always be looking to reevaluate your situation and maximize what you can get out of it
[–] limitedduck@awful.systems 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

This is true if you're betting everything you have. By not having shrinking bets after losses you can tap into the net gains. Compare 1 win followed by 1 loss with $100 start:

Win is $100+$80 = $180

Loss is $180-$90 = $90

Compare with fixed bets of $50 with bank of $100:

Win is $100+$40 = $140

Loss is $140-$25 = $115

[–] limitedduck@awful.systems 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The key is not letting your losses affect your bet amount. With the gain being only 80% instead of 100%, betting your bank means 1 win and 1 loss leaves you with less than you started. Making your bet amount fixed between flips means 1:1 will instead give you a net gain. The Kelly Criterion says there is an optimal proportion of bank you can bet that will maximize this gain over many flips

[–] limitedduck@awful.systems 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The article says the private sector is building less because of higher interest rates. They ARE purposely limiting the money they can make because the risk of that interest is a potentially greater loss.

[–] limitedduck@awful.systems 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[–] limitedduck@awful.systems 2 points 1 year ago

What immigration files is the author referencing?

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