rigor

joined 3 years ago
[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 1 month ago

Are you okay? Did a random video online hurt your feelings? Maybe you should reexamine what makes you reject when a country is making positive advancements.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 1 month ago

To be honest, top picture should have some counties in between US/China, and then after tarifs around China.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 18 points 1 month ago

Comrade Chang seemingly makes growth in China increase each time he predicts collapse.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 1 month ago

But they where doing so well... Wait a second, tariffs didn't hurt China's exports? Oh nooooes

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 1 month ago

Makes much sense, half = 50%. They are making the tariffs half. Yes. Makes sense. definitely didn't say they will half 145% which would be something else entirely. No not at all.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

China (15.7% in 2023) is currently near the world median youth unemployment rate. The CIA world Factbook has it at 93/201. What does that mean? You have to look at more that just that figure. Do Cuba (3%) and Liberia (2.3%) have similar economies? What about Italy (28.7%) and Iran (28.8%)?

Youth unemployment is defined as the percent of 15-24 year old persons who are seeking work but can't find it. Keep in mind 75% of youth is enrolled in tertiary education in China (World Bank) and the MoE says senior high enrollment is 91.6% in 2022 with an increasing trend.

So 15.7% of youth that can't find jobs is only out of those not already in school/university, and of course only counting those searching.

I can't point to the causal reason for a relative increase over previous years, but looking at increasing rates of education could explain less otherwise employed youth is getting their education, making the percent of unemployed youth greater. I'd have to look deeper at the statistics, but the point is don't look at a headline "China has this one bad stat" and make assumptions.

@cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml you might find the stats interesting as well given your comment.

Edit: typo

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Well, Biden (more likely his advisors and entourage) did try to have some mesure of an industrial policy and preemptive measures such as the CHIPS act. Obviously they where insufficient, poorly executed, inefficient, etc. so you are right in that they dialed to make similar preparations. That said we shouldn't discount the US, it is incompetent but still dangerous and attempting to find solutions to preserve it's hegemony. Let's hope it fails.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Ideally China could perfectly neutralize any nuke. But realistically, even a single nuke hitting a Chinese city would kill tens of millions in seconds. Not to mention, China would have to respond. The loss of life would be horrendous even if China had a very robust defense, the possibility of it failing and the magnitude of a single nuke getting by isn't worth it. The US, unfortunately, has a lot of nukes.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 1 month ago (5 children)

Well, don't tell US policy makers, they might have an aneurysm... Actually maybe tell them.

Increasingly incompetent administrations are heralding in a new multipolar world, let's just hope they don't resort to nukes.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 18 points 1 month ago (3 children)

It's interesting to see just how asymmetrical the repercussions are so far. Bodes well for China.

 

China's total import and export value in April reached 3.84 trillion yuan ($531.46 billion), up 5.6 percent year-on-year. Exports stood at 2.27 trillion yuan, rising 9.3 percent, while imports totaled 1.57 trillion yuan, marking a 0.8 percent increase, according to data released by the General Administration of Customs on Friday.

China's trade in goods in the first four months of 2025 reached 14.14 trillion yuan, up 2.4 percent year-on-year, with the growth rate accelerating by 1.1 percentage points compared with the first quarter, which continued the steady growth trend, according to official data.

...

The exports during the four months surged by 7.5 percent to 8.39 trillion yuan, while the imports went down by 4.2 percent to 5.75 trillion yuan.

In terms of trading with major partners, ASEAN remains China's top trading partner, with the trade value reaching 2.38 trillion yuan, up 9.2 percent year-on-year, accounting for 16.8 percent of China's total trade during the period. China's exports to ASEAN surged by 12.6 percent to 1.48 trillion yuan, while imports grew by 4 percent to 895.17 billion yuan.

The EU was the second-largest partner, with the trade value topping 1.78 trillion yuan, recording a year-on-year increase of 1.1 percent and ranking 12.6 percent of the total trade. China's exports to the EU grew by 6.1 percent to 1.21 trillion yuan with the imports declining 8.1 percent to 563.59 billion yuan.

The US was China's third-largest trading partner, with the trade volume at 1.44 trillion yuan, down 2.1 percent and accounting for 10.2 percent of the total. China's exports to the US declined by 1.5 percent to 1.07 trillion yuan while imports dropped by 3.7 percent to 369.95 billion yuan.

China's trade with the Belt and Road Initiative partner countries in the first four months recorded a year-on-year increase of 3.9 percent to 7.25 trillion yuan.

The GAC noted that private enterprises recorded the imports and exports of 8.05 trillion yuan, marking a 6.8 percent year-on-year growth, which accounted for 56.9 percent of China's total foreign trade value and represented a 2.3 percentage points increase compared to the same period last year.

Foreign-invested enterprises reported import-export volumes of 4.1 trillion yuan, reflecting 1.9 percent growth and accounting for 29 percent of China's total foreign trade value.

Product-wise, electromechanical products accounted for more than 60 percent of exports, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 9.5 percent to 5.04 trillion yuan. Specifically, exports of automatic data processing equipment and components grew by 5.6 percent to 458.71 billion yuan. The exports of integrated circuits totaled 405.15 billion yuan, marking a 14.7 percent increase, while the automotive exports grew to 264.98 billion yuan with a 4 percent rise.

Global Times

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202505/1333661.shtml

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 1 month ago

Yes, The United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA) is an agency basically dedicated to trying to alleviate the ~~humanitarian crisis~~ genocide Israel created and perpetuates. Obviously that's inconvenient for Israel, so it doesn't like UNRWA.

[–] rigor@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

That might be misleading. It's pretty easy to get a work visa, which you can use to stay indefinitely, got to renew it though. Getting permanent residence is harder to qualify for, but if you've been in China for a while it's easier. lots of people just stay in China very long periods of time on work visas.

 

Article doesn't go into it, but thats amid the trade war.

 

cross-posted from: https://lemmygrad.ml/post/4045522

(Never cross posted before, if this is incorrect/wrong/breaks any rules mods please delete or let me know and I'll delete, I just thought this might be interesting and wanted some discussion)

Some thoughts and points I've noticed in/about China:

  1. Everything you hear from Global North media is wrong or misleading. Perhaps there are a few exceptions, but if you ever come to China you will find all the media narratives are false or misleading.
  2. You should always try to keep in mind the diversity, size, and expansive history of China when trying to analyze or understand it. China has 56 officially recognized ethnic groups, the land mass is slightly larger than all the US (any articles that say China is smaller are using the CIA world factbook which counts certain maritime zones for the US but not China), and China/Chinese culture has a history of some 5,000 years. (Liberal analysis is already unreliable, but also ignores just about all of this)
  3. On the topic of ehthic minorities, they enjoy quite a bit of support for their culture and socioeconomic status. Minorities with significant presence in provinces (e.g.: Xinjiang) and smaller administrative divisions will have special “autonomous” statuts. They have special provisions, for example ID cards will be written in Simplified Chinese and the language of the ethnic group. Minorities also have preferential treatment (similar to affirmative action) for university entrance. Moreover there are special universities for “nationalities” (ethnic minorities) such as the well reputed Minzu University in Beijing.
  4. Global North economic indicators like GDP per capita don’t measure the level of development well. While people work hard throughout the country, they also have a good quality of life and opportunities. This includes smaller cities which according to Global North statistics would be much poorer, and should have access to less services. (Also everywhere is extremely safe, both from petty and violent crime)
  5. Political sentiment is complicated, it’s not overwhelmingly negative, but there is differently a divergence and a plurality of opinions. In the countryside you will find many homes, including new ones, with large portraits of Mao. Shanghai on the other hand is very liberal. However the party has generally good support and no real political opposition internally.
  6. The party is ingrained into society. Many young people aspire to join the party, which is a competitive process. Institutions such as universities have official party committees, which jolw much of the power. Likewise, most companies also have a party presence and oversight.
  7. Despite developing rapidly, China is very large and still has some regions and areas in need of development. The party is aware of this and has is doing and exemplary job. Young people are encouraged to go to the countryside to volunteer and work. Many young officials are sent to work in such areas. There is a reason why a majority of the reduction in poverty globally is thanks to China.
  8. Global North, particularly American cultural hegemony has influence still. It’s is waning, but is certainly a challenge and is one of the key issues to address. While the youth has political education, it seems to not be particularly effective. The party should probably try it’s best to present attractive and engaging counter narratives. This has had success on geopolitical issues, such as Russia/Ukraine where most people have an ML or ML adjacent position. However, it remains to be developed for economic and social issues. “Western” economics is taught uncritically in many institutions.
  9. Relatedly, many people are pessimistic at times about China’s future economic trajectory and growth. This may be because of the Western influence in economic understanding. I believe China’s economy has good potential, as long as the party keeps steering the market and SOE well, as they have done. Also, China is fundamentally restructuring it’s economy to become green, which is at the expense of some areas/cities, e.g.: those that produce coal. That being said it is for the overall good of the economy and society. Moreover, the greening of China was pioneered by comrade Xi, which is a position he has held long before it was mainstream or popular in China or the West.

Sorry for any typos. I'd welcome discussion and to hear others thoughts.

 

Some thoughts and points I've noticed in/about China:

  1. Everything you hear from Global North media is wrong or misleading. Perhaps there are a few exceptions, but if you ever come to China you will find all the media narratives are false or misleading.
  2. You should always try to keep in mind the diversity, size, and expansive history of China when trying to analyze or understand it. China has 56 officially recognized ethnic groups, the land mass is slightly larger than all the US (any articles that say China is smaller are using the CIA world factbook which counts certain maritime zones for the US but not China), and China/Chinese culture has a history of some 5,000 years. (Liberal analysis is already unreliable, but also ignores just about all of this)
  3. On the topic of ehthic minorities, they enjoy quite a bit of support for their culture and socioeconomic status. Minorities with significant presence in provinces (e.g.: Xinjiang) and smaller administrative divisions will have special “autonomous” statuts. They have special provisions, for example ID cards will be written in Simplified Chinese and the language of the ethnic group. Minorities also have preferential treatment (similar to affirmative action) for university entrance. Moreover there are special universities for “nationalities” (ethnic minorities) such as the well reputed Minzu University in Beijing.
  4. Global North economic indicators like GDP per capita don’t measure the level of development well. While people work hard throughout the country, they also have a good quality of life and opportunities. This includes smaller cities which according to Global North statistics would be much poorer, and should have access to less services. (Also everywhere is extremely safe, both from petty and violent crime)
  5. Political sentiment is complicated, it’s not overwhelmingly negative, but there is differently a divergence and a plurality of opinions. In the countryside you will find many homes, including new ones, with large portraits of Mao. Shanghai on the other hand is very liberal. However the party has generally good support and no real political opposition internally.
  6. The party is ingrained into society. Many young people aspire to join the party, which is a competitive process. Institutions such as universities have official party committees, which jolw much of the power. Likewise, most companies also have a party presence and oversight.
  7. Despite developing rapidly, China is very large and still has some regions and areas in need of development. The party is aware of this and has is doing and exemplary job. Young people are encouraged to go to the countryside to volunteer and work. Many young officials are sent to work in such areas. There is a reason why a majority of the reduction in poverty globally is thanks to China.
  8. Global North, particularly American cultural hegemony has influence still. It’s is waning, but is certainly a challenge and is one of the key issues to address. While the youth has political education, it seems to not be particularly effective. The party should probably try it’s best to present attractive and engaging counter narratives. This has had success on geopolitical issues, such as Russia/Ukraine where most people have an ML or ML adjacent position. However, it remains to be developed for economic and social issues. “Western” economics is taught uncritically in many institutions.
  9. Relatedly, many people are pessimistic at times about China’s future economic trajectory and growth. This may be because of the Western influence in economic understanding. I believe China’s economy has good potential, as long as the party keeps steering the market and SOE well, as they have done. Also, China is fundamentally restructuring it’s economy to become green, which is at the expense of some areas/cities, e.g.: those that produce coal. That being said it is for the overall good of the economy and society. Moreover, the greening of China was pioneered by comrade Xi, which is a position he has held long before it was mainstream or popular in China or the West.

Sorry for any typos. I'd welcome discussion and to hear others thoughts.

 

Archive link: https://archive.ph/19l1e

 

Interesting to see how this will go. Often the US visits China. Also, note how, despite everything, China keeps trying diplomacy and peace. Meanwhile the US is fixated on war. War in Ukrane, Palestine, and eventually China; if the US has its way that is.

 

This is likely insignificant, yet gives some hope. Japan may yet refrain from becoming a pawn, as it would surely be obliterated in a conflict with China. Unfortunately, this is probably but a squabble over blame for imperial incompetence.

Cup half full: either Japan is incompetent or ths US was and is trying to pin the blame on Japan, which will push them away. It could also be a pretext to warn Japan it can be dropped military in an attempt to draw them in, a sort of threat or loyalty test. Either way, imperial disunity favors multipolarity and AES.

 

Hoping more support form local states and the greater presence of China in the region will help.

 

Thoughts?

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