I definitely think that India is the weakest link in BRICS, but my expectation is that US will continue to try and play hardball with them which will ultimately leave India with no choice by to align with BRICS. US is simply unable to compromise or to treat other countries with respect. We'll have to see what happens though.
It does look like relations between India and the west are starting to fray. India sees itself as being sovereign and equal, but US wants it to act as a good vassal. This is ultimately pushing India to look towards the global south instead.
Indeed, and CPC might've made a calculation that the west isn't that important in the grand scheme of things. Focusing on nations that aren't already hostile to China is probably more practical. China can make it easy for westerners to come to China, but realistically only a tiny percentage of westerners are likely to actually go there. A lot of people in the west are so terrified by the propaganda that's been whipped up here that they think China might arrest them arbitrarily if they set a foot there. It's just not possible for China to compete with domestic brainwashing that's happening. On the other hand, countries that are politically friendly towards China don't have this problem.
Very much agree, whatever we can do to educate people is worth doing. I'm just managing my expectations for what's realistically possible.
Thanks for your thoughts, these are all excellent points! The idea can definitely be fleshed out further to explain how each state evolves internally, and what conditions might trigger state transitions. I'd argue we can say past is linear in a sense that it has happened in one specific way, but the current state of a society can loop back and repeat a prior stage that happened. Russia is a good example where it transitioned to a socialist stage and then regressed back to a capitalist one.
I very much like the idea of focusing on the dialectical aspect of interlinking forces propelling societal change. The idea of states is useful for partitioning the stages, but in practice the states overlap. Each state necessarily contains the seeds needed for other states to sprout from it, otherwise those states would be inaccessible. So, perhaps something other than a graph with nodes and edges could be used to represent that. Perhaps something like a Venn diagram might be better representation where overlaps between the states can be explicitly shown.
The inspiration for writing it was a discussion I had with a few anarchist comrades. It made me realize that using a graph representation is very helpful for illustrating why there is no actual path towards anarchism from a capitalist society. This also helps show that anarchists should not view Marxists as adversaries as the type of society Marxists advocate for would create conditions that are be far closer to a state anarchists desire.
I'm cautiously optimistic that may be the case as well. It's also worth noting that it's not just Elon that would be invested in this, but also many large tech corps like Apple and Nvidia. Their business model is entirely dependent on China, and these companies are load bearing pillars of the current US economy. If they crash then the US economy will start to unravel.
the funny part is that the US army understands this perfectly well
It's all about making sure that the kleptocrats running the EU can convince the public that they're not buying Russian gas. Not only are they end up buying it from the US, they're also buying the same Russian gas through third parties like India.
From my understanding, the Communist Party of India has been power in Kerala for a while now, and that likely makes them the most successful of the parties.
That's been my approach as well, hence why I was thinking of a way to make the logic of the argument easily digestible. Hopefully that might prove of use in future discussions. :)