zephyreks

joined 1 year ago
[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 11 points 2 months ago

Meloni had the quickest image rehabilitation in a while

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 40 points 2 months ago (2 children)

So, looking at China's GDP/capital growth rate relative to representative Asian economies, it seems like the construction glut was actually a net drawdown on GDP growth? Growth rates fell in 2011 and have only recovered in the 2021 era (coinciding with the rise and fall of China's real estate market).

This intuitively should make sense given how China imputes rent, but it's still surprising.

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 51 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I hate how elections work in Canada man.

So Trudeau's been getting absolutely terrible poll numbers, but the Conservatives have basically no platform except "Trudeau bad pt. 7"...

But anyway, now that the Conservatives are gaining support federally against the Liberals, they're also gaining support provincially against the BC NDP (which by all accounts is doing a pretty great job at actually getting stuff done).

But of course, the provincial Conservatives used to be called the Liberals, but now they're the Conservatives because the provincial Liberal party imploded.

So anyway, now there's not terrible odds we'll get put under a Conservative provincial government because the federal government can't get their shit together.

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 3 points 2 months ago

I mean... Canadian education really isn't that great on global affairs lmao

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 10 points 2 months ago

His last ounce of resistance was to force them to DocuSign that shit lmao

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 2 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Canada one was out of negligence, this one was out of willful ignorance.

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 24 points 2 months ago

Politics is about power and, well, how do you compete with the kind of power that can flip a country in an instant?

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Bernie has no competence in foreign policy, but seems like it would be decent for domestic issues?

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 41 points 2 months ago

I mean... wasn't this inevitable? Iron is basically infinitely recyclable, and eventually China will build up enough scrap to saturate demand. There's a reason electric arc furnaces are becoming increasingly popular in China lol

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 54 points 2 months ago (3 children)

Let's talk macro for a little bit: with the JD Vance pick (and assuming the Democrats can't fix their campaign), are we not seeing the balance of power in DC shift from New York & finance to San Francisco & tech?

That shift in power lends far more credence to reindustrialization and a change in the US Treasury than anything else. A weak dollar is far less important to the Silicon Valley elite than it is to the New York elite. Is it unreasonable to expect a weakening dollar emerge over the next four years, bringing with it a rise in onshoring, a rise in real incomes (which are overwhelmingly from domestic consumption), and a fall in purchasing power abroad?

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 11 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The Secret Service runs a pretty robust EW suite I thought?

[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 21 points 2 months ago

Gotta protect your kids I respect that

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