this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2024
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I keep hearing that Ukraine has invaded Russia or is "winning again" or some such.

So what's the SitRep?

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[–] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Having the right to do something and it actually being the strategically smart thing to do are two different things.

Ritter is usually mostly correct when he talks about what is currently going on and has a good grasp of the history of this conflict, but his short term predictions tend to be unreliable. This is because he projects his American mentality onto the Russians.

What we have observed so far in this conflict is that Russia is cautious to a fault and very unwilling to escalate. They are comfortable with the pace that things are progressing at and don't want to rock the boat. Unpredictable things can happen when you escalate.

The Kiev regime and its western handlers on the other hand are constantly trying to provoke precisely such an escalation in order to possibly escape the slow but sure trajectory to defeat that they currently find themselves on. Why would Russia give them what they want?