this post was submitted on 12 Sep 2024
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United States | News & Politics
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The change could easily be statistical noise. My gut says she's doing well, but not because the polls but because of who they didn't poll. You're looking at a 2008 repeat if she keeps up the excitement with younger voters, for instance. 2008 and 2016 were both decided by unpolled, politically disengaged groups that decided that year was their year. Polls can't anticipate new voters very well because they're not "likely voters" (Plus who fucking answers their phone anyway).
But, it's September. There are a lot of things that can change. Polls also don't take into account voter restriction crap that's in place. In 2020 I don't think it could figure out COVIDs impact on voting, which likely helped Biden.
So as others say, vote. Hell, don't stop there, volunteer or donate or at the very least meme until you can't meme anymore. They're eating cats and dogs, people!