Doesn't matter, vote.
this post was submitted on 12 Sep 2024
146 points (98.0% liked)
United States | News & Politics
1923 readers
54 users here now
Welcome to !usa@midwest.social, where you can share and converse about the different things happening all over/about the United States.
If you’re interested in participating, please subscribe.
Rules
Be respectful and civil. No racism/bigotry/hateful speech.
Post anything related to the United States.
founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
If the election were held today, 50 percent of respondents said they would cast their ballot for Harris, up from 49 percent who were polled before the debate.
Trump, on the other hand, lost support. Ahead of the debate, 46 percent of respondents said they would cast their ballot for the former president if the election were held today. After Tuesday’s debate, that decreased to 45 percent.
But what about the swing states?
polls also said Hillary would win by a landslide
No. No they didn't.
The change could easily be statistical noise. My gut says she's doing well, but not because the polls but because of who they didn't poll. You're looking at a 2008 repeat if she keeps up the excitement with younger voters, for instance. 2008 and 2016 were both decided by unpolled, politically disengaged groups that decided that year was their year. Polls can't anticipate new voters very well because they're not "likely voters" (Plus who fucking answers their phone anyway).
But, it's September. There are a lot of things that can change. Polls also don't take into account voter restriction crap that's in place. In 2020 I don't think it could figure out COVIDs impact on voting, which likely helped Biden.
So as others say, vote. Hell, don't stop there, volunteer or donate or at the very least meme until you can't meme anymore. They're eating cats and dogs, people!