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Trump says all we need to do is turn on a "giant faucet" to solve California drought
(www.youtube.com)
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He's polling at about 45%. The third is his base but there are a lot of independents who plan to vote for him, and they're the ones who decide elections.
He’s polling at about 45% (plus or minus about six points), but that 45% only counts the ~66% of people who actually vote. So it’s only 28-33% of the population that actively supports him enough to vote for him.