this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2024
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[–] Enkers@sh.itjust.works 7 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Moreover, that's not how probability works in independent events.

It'd be like saying "I flipped coin A 1 billion times and got half a billion heads, so now that I'm flipping coin B 100 times, I probably won't get any more heads."

It should be fairly obvious that you can say the exact same statement about tails, and get a completely contradictory statement.