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it would depend on luck for the first few days - I've got weapons and I know the fastest way to gtfo of the city so I can rendezvous with my family - they've got some arable property in an easily defendable, low population area. family isnt prepper level but they're big into organic gardening/natural remedies - in the late spring through late autumn they dont need to buy groceries, the land provides... there's plenty of water there in the area, and building a water wheel isnt that difficult, nor is wire wrapping (just tedious) so as soon as we survive the winter of year 0 (and winters are pretty mild) designing a grain mill (flour) and basic electrical generation (parts are just laying around) would just be a matter of a few months. my father is big into black powder tech - i grew up learning how to manufacture it, how to cast lead shot, how to care for rifles. 1700s level tech is very simple (not super accurate but it's better than limited modern day rounds).
so, end of post apocalypse, year 1: permanent food and water supplies secured. electrical generation secured, electrical grid expanding. base acquired & outfitted. protection/weaponry secured.
years 2 - 45 (probably got another 45 years in me), hard but rewarding survival as I rebuild society. pass the reins onto my very large family. world domination in 250 years.
I hate when people try to brag that they'd easily survive the apocalypse cause they've prepped, or hoarded, or trained, or whatever. Like bitch if you're in the first city to be bombed or patient zero, you dead.
When the pandemic shut a lot of the world down for a bit, I turned into Snake Plisskin from "Escape from LA" like some of apocalyptic Cinderella. Didn't everyone? /s
Army-of-one renegade lone-wolf badass-hero natural-confidence-leader fiction was a cultural mistake.
go back and read the OP to see what we're discussing. a solar flare has no real impact on animals/people and an emp has even less effect. you're fucked if you have a pacemaker but in that event you've got one foot in the grave as it is and your chance of survival is not realistic. you're not even statistically relevant. only electrical devices that are powered on and arent shielded would be affected by and emp attack anyway, but the cabling and many of the components would still work just fine.
it's not bragging to say that I would, with a little bit of luck for the first few days (honestly compels me to admit that I wouldnt need much luck), be able to survive a scenario that would kill 80% of the population - it's fact. I suppose if my family didnt have property where they do, the experience they do, and I was raised in a different way then I'd probably die in a ditch like the vast majority of my neighbors, but the truth of the matter is that I am just better prepared than they are. basic survival techniques, situational awareness, and an educational mindset will take you a lot further than most things when your life is on the line.
Perhaps I worded it poorly. I quoted you qualifying your success with the necessity for luck. I was applauding the affirmation that even with plenty of skills and preparedness, some things are out of our hands.
No doubt there would be people that had no business surviving but make it on pure luck and the goodwill of others. Though luck favors the prepared.
I agree - I could easily be killed by someone as I make my way to a safe location. there's a gas station just down the block that gets knocked over every few weeks, crime is a common thing in my area.
Please tell me you send your family pictures of the broadway lights, and they send you homemade wine.
Yes, that is to be expected from the Us americans. They would kill each other pretty soon.
I thought it was interesting that this poster started with weapons and protection, when in my mind the first thing to do is find community of people to work together on mutual survival.