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If this picks up steam, we could very well see another Republican candidate (most likely DeSantis) win the nomination and become Joe Biden's opponent.
On the other hand, the SCOTUS is Republican controlled. They already got Roe V Wade overturned and could very well rule in Trump's favour.
Part of me truly worries that America will be the first to fall to a new wave of Fascism, and that this will spur further swings in Europe. (AfD are performing alarmingly well in East Germany, whilst Le Pen has been closer than ever before to winning the French presidency.)
DeSantis would get fucking wrecked in a national race, Biden's team would laugh their asses off, then get back to sending crib-seeking missiles to Netanyahu.
Careful, that's exactly what we said about Trump.
Trump had charisma, DeSantis has anti-charisma. The more people see of him the less people like him. He pissed off big business with his Disney stuff.
There's a reason his campaign is in hospice care.
If it isn't Trump it'll be Haley. She would have a real shot.
But it's gonna be Trump anyway, so this is kind of moot.
You underestimate just how disliked Biden is, and how many Americans honestly believe that Trump had the last election stolen from him.
Also, the fact that Trump survived two impeachments, spurred an attempted insurrection and is only now starting to face state/federal charges that in any other democracy would have had him immediately struck off from the ballot is worrying. It's set precedent that could allow a more sane, manipulative and competent candidate to commandeer the country.
The only possible good that could come out of a DeSantis nomination would be if Trump ran as an independent in protest and heavily split the right wing vote, which would guarantee a second Biden term.
Desantis would get wrecked in a cognitive dissonance race with trump.
I agree with everything that both of you said.
That's the entire point, isn't it? To prevent the insurrectionist from being on the ballot, not "prevent the republicans from being on the ballot."
More than that, some people will still vote for Trump as a write in, which will split the Republican vote and force them to lose
East Germany?
Yes. The former DDR part is commonly still called that. It still differs noticeably from the West in terms of culture and level of development. Unfortunately, the entire region has moved significantly to the right politically. So much even that an openly right-wing extremist party has a majority in multiple parts of it.
I didn't know Dance Dance Revolution got a party. Weird thing.
We have a group at work that uses the abbreviation "DDRC". I often think of them as the Dance Dance Revolution Committee. Their actual purpose is much, much less fun.
(I also often say "Time has no meaning there" about them, referencing Star Trek Generations. Because they literally do not care how long they delay projects. It's not their problem, and they refuse to even acknowledge there is a concern. I really hate dealing with them, if you haven't guessed.)
It's like saying Southern California. It's just a region within a larger state.
What does that have to do with my comment about California?
I hate to say it, but the world is overdue for a new world war. Fascism seems to rise when the previous generation that experienced Fascism dies off. Nobody who went through it wants that to happen again, but like toddlers, we need to touch the stove to learn it's hot.
Correction: the rich want another world war and are pushing for it. The brainwashing that has been going on for years wasn't paid by your average joe.
And as usual, it will be paid with the blood of the poor
Instead of a world war we need liberals and pacifist nitwits to arm up and counter the goddamn rednecked white soxed blue ribbon beer shitheads that are hellbent on turning America into a christofascist gulag
I always hate the "moving to Canada" thing. American hubris leads them to believe that they can just emigrate to whatever country they like without barriers. That's not how it works.
Just like the USA, Canada isn't going to grant citizenship to every rando who approaches their borders.
I will say this though, depending on where they're coming from in the US, and what they've experienced in terms of threats and persecution, I could see there being a case for requests for asylum for LGBT+ people trying to escape to Canada. And that's sad as hell for all of us.
Uh... What do you mean "if they win"? The LGBTQIA community here in Canada has dramatically expanded with Americans looking to apply for citizenship. LGBTQIA protections and civil rights are crumbling in the States even without the GOP strictly in power. The Exodus is already underway.
There are more queers in America than there are people in Canada.
You ain't seen nothing yet.
Going to be some absolutely amazing looking refugee tents at some point tho
I thought this couldn't possibly be right, and it isn't quite, but the numbers are way closer than I realized.
Canada only has around 37 million people. I always thought there were far more just because of how big Canada is. Guess I've been a standard uneducated American. US population is around 333 million. Latest estimate I can find is 7.2% queer which is roughly 24 million people.
Not all of those will need to flee, and those who do may not be financially able to flee. Others won't want to for the reasons most people don't want to leave their home. Many straight passing people will be "fine". Most trans people will want to for medical care at least, and most I know (myself included) are currently migrating to more progressive states if not to Canada yet. Trans numbers in the US are hard to nail down, but highest estimate is 1% which is only 3 million.
We have a bigot/ fascist lover here in Canada called Pierre Poilievre who's in the lead in the polls. If something doesn't change between now and 2025 Canada may fall to the far right as well.
They didn't in 2016, what changed?
Trump was unpredictable in 2016. He talked a big game, but we had no idea what laws he'd pass, what his policies would be, etc. Sadly many voted for him because he was seen as an "outsider" since people were tired of standard politicians.
Now we have a good idea what he'll do, January 6th happened, and Trump has been vocal about trans genocide specifically.