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One problem is trying to discern people who have truly religious beliefs, vs. people that are lazy lairs.
I think Trump supporters that talk of him being chosen by God are lazy lairs. They have a racist world view, can't justify it, so bring God into the argument. They have no real interest into looking deeply at questions or reality; they laugh at those that do.
Is this a problem to my answer? It just seems like another explanation.
Frankly, it doesn't matter if religious beliefs are truly held or not, the results are the same.
Trump supporters are fucking morons, I'd take 50/50 odds on there being a trump cult in the next 15 years that worship him as a second coming, and that would be valid as a religion.