this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2023
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Not only lemmy is not as big as reddit back in the migration days. But reddit is also not as small as digg in the migration days.
Were assuming that these migrations follow a set pattern but in reality each iteration has been slower and harder to materialize.
Take also into account that the UX is very different as well and not very casual friendly. Take also into account that in a span of a few hours a gigantic part of the community lost access to some of the biggest communities out of the blue because beehaw defederated world (it's their right and choice but the UX impact still exists) . So some people might even be like "Yeah fuck this, I'll just go back to my tried and true subreddit interface" others will be like "Why do I bother posting content in X community if I might lose access to it later on if someone decides to defederate? "
Lemmy is pretty awesome and I'm liking it here. But to think we're the "silent minority" of reddit is just not true. Vast majority a of casual users are like " why do you use a 3rd party app of there's a reddit app and it's OK..? "
What brings your comment into focus is the remark upthread “remember IRC?”
IRC still exists, but the heyday of UnderNet and irc.net is long past. An entire generation has grown up not using it, not experiencing netsplits and the like.
The Fediverse is kind of like the IRC and Usenet of a new generation. Over time, it will rediscover the same issues felt by those early protocols of the Internet. Hopefully it will navigate past them and we won’t just swing back to centralization again.
But in the meantime, Reddit is not going anywhere, and I’m not sure I’d want it to. It attracts certain types of people that I’d be happy to never see on Lemmy, at least not until it is significantly more mature and has tools in place to manage them.