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What are the odds a court deems this unconstitutional?
that question depends on when glenn youngkin is up for re-election
That's a word they'd use but the actual reasons would not be mentioned as mentioning them would be damaging to the collective American psyche.
I'd argue that you could ban anything that you don't have to manually pack gunpowder into.
That's what was available when the constitution was penned.
You don't even need to ban the guns. Just ban bullets.
That's a bad precedent to set. There are certainly reasons why this can be upheld, but saying that anything new is by default banned unless explicitly allowed is the opposite of what it states in the constitution.
That would allow for decisions like the freedom of speech doesn't exist on the internet because the internet didn't exist when the constitution was penned.
A potential loophole: many rifle owners save money by pressing their own cartridges. The tools required are a bit pricey but not out of reach for the average person. You'd have to use some careful wording to ban home made bullets but not muzzleloaders.
Only if the court is part of a well regulated militia