this post was submitted on 29 Jun 2024
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If I was a Republican strategist I'd be pushing supportive messages for Biden to ensure he stays in the race. Easy win.
The most dangerous thing for Republicans is Democrats garnering viral media attention and excitement by nominating a fresh new, younger face instead of the forcing voters to pick between two candidates the vast majority of Americans dislike.
If Biden drops out of the race, the candidate would be Harris. He'd resign, endorse Harris, and it'd get confirmed at the convention. The only "fresh new, younger face" would be the VP pick.
I'm not saying that's a problem, but the idea that that an open floor battle at the convention would be a good idea is nuts, and just discarding the sitting VP like that would probably shatter the democratic coalition.
That's a probable outcome, but it's not the only possibility. Neither he nor unpledged delegates have an obligation to endorse Harris.
I think it's nuts to NOT think it wouldn't be a good thing. If it hasn't occurred to people already, we already live in a circus. The excitement of this unprecedented scenario would yield widespread free viral ad time. Democrats are generally united on the objective: defeat Donald Trump. The only thing the convention would be about is: "Who can best defeat Donald Trump?" Which is perfectly fine.
So I'll repeat what I wrote elsewhere. I think many are missing the opportunity for Democrats to seize the narrative:
I'll be honest: I think we're absolutely fucked if we stick with BIden. He's behind his 2020 stats in pretty much every way. THAT election was decided by 40,000 people across 3 contested states. Prospects were poor PRE-debate (Hence why Biden took the debate in the first place), and they're even worse now. So I think the risk is worth taking.