this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2024

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Bulletins and News Discussion from October 7th to October 13th, 2024 - Happy International Paragliding Day! (hexbear.net)

submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

1930 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Image is here.

One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.

Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.

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[–] Sasuke@hexbear.net 57 points 5 days ago (3 children)

Palestinian Authority to attend BRICS summit, apply for membership (The Cradle, Aug 26, 2024)

Palestine’s ambassador in Moscow, Abdel Hafeez Nofal, said on 26 August that Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas had received an invitation from President Vladimir Putin to attend the upcoming BRICS summit.

“We received an invitation from President Putin to President Abbas, and he was invited to participate in the BRICS summit prior to the invitation [to visit Russia] … but we will see if the prime minister will participate,” Nofal said. “The most important thing is that we [Palestinian representatives] will participate in this event,” he added.

The ambassador said Abbas and Putin have a good relationship with one another and can meet at any time.

“After our first participation in the BRICS summit, we will send a request to join this association,” Nofal revealed.

He also said that Putin promised Abbas that the upcoming BRICS summit in the Russian city of Kazan, scheduled for October 2024, will include a session dedicated primarily to Palestine.

Old article, but with the BRICS summit in Russia approaching (22–24 Oct), I need to hear what (if anything) my fellow newsmega heads expect will come from this.

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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 76 points 6 days ago (13 children)

US will urgently deploy THAAD air defense batteries in Israel, @ynetalerts reports; deployment will reinforce defenses against Iranian ballistic missiles. This is another signal that Israeli action in Iran is expected to be very forceful & likely trigger Iranian response.

This tells us two things. Israel is likely to attack Iran soon, and the iron dome can do jack shit against Iran missiles (also they might be out of interceptors)

https://nitter.poast.org/IsraelRadar_com/status/1845154626884280656

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[–] Aru@lemmygrad.ml 45 points 5 days ago (7 children)

President of India is in Algeria now, staying here for 4 days, no idea why

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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 38 points 5 days ago

Fucking sovereign citizen vem miller, what is even us of a? meow-tableflip

[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 76 points 6 days ago

Dem-Rep relations really looks like a toxic relationship

Democrats to everyone else: I hate his fascist ass. I never want to see him again. Every since cell of me hates him with burning passion. I will kill him on sight

Democrats to Republicans: please baby let us be together. You want to kill black people, queer people and immigrants and enslave woman? We could do that together. I could even get a swastika tattoo on my forehead for you. I love you baby please don't leave me every second we spend apart feels like pure agony and torture

[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 81 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (6 children)

Saw the Bill Maher video. With each day that passes they get more confident in showing themselves being proud genocide supporters, without an ounce of shame.

However, with each day that passes violence against them also becomes more and more likely and morally acceptable, it is completely justified. They think they're safe saying and doing all that, they think this is the 1990s where you could say whatever the fuck you want and fear no retribution. But little do they know, the world they built (that runs on blood), the system they desperately hold onto, is slowly fading away and a new one will be born. A pathetic zionist like Maher might escape the swift act of Justice, but the genocidal system he helped build and maintain will not.

Never forget who they are and what they did in our times. Memory is important if we want to build a future for ourselves. They've exposed themselves, they've shown their true self, now we must do our part and remember them for when our time comes...

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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 37 points 5 days ago

Decided to make a return to #beanwatch:

Coffee returned to literally same place when i reported first time on it, no sudden beanis excellence.

Cocoa still expensive though.

P.S. (also oil doesn't believe in iran's courage)

[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 57 points 5 days ago (4 children)

Interesting piece on Phenomenal World: Adaptation in the Sanctioned Economy: Domestic manufacturing, overcapacity, and the limits of Iran’s economic resilience , it shows how despite the belief that sanctions resilience is entirely a matter of state capacity and state policy Iran's private sector actually invested a TON to fill the space left by foreign manufactured products, like washing machines, to the point where they're even building too much of this stuff so the government can be faulted for not influencing these sectors to allocate capital appropriately.

Also interesting is how these big private firms believe that they can actually do well in the sanctions environment, so they lobby the government AGAINST lifting import bans even if economic sanctions are also lifted, so there's another point against the american sanctions regime as a useful behavior changing tool even by its own terms.

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 44 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (6 children)

I got my first dose of 3 HPV vaccines a couple weeks ago. Body tolerated it well. Little soreness at the injection site for a few days. Got the insurance statement for it. Holy shit! I mean they covered it, but absolutely ridiculous how much they gouge. $60 to poke me and $500 for the shot itself.

They say 95% of insurance carriers cover it. So I would recommend everyone not allergic to get it. Basically a broad cancer vaccine. Totally not every thing but like half a dozen common viruses that are known to cause cancer - yes please.

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 70 points 6 days ago

Generalplan Ost with Zionist characteristics:
https://xcancel.com/AbujomaaGaza/status/1845326161703796953

⚠️ 𝑽𝒆𝒓𝒚 𝑰𝒎𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒂𝒏𝒕 𝒕𝒐 𝒌𝒏𝒐𝒘

israeli occupation forces are implementing General’s Plan for ethnically cleansing Palestinians from northern parts of #Gaza.

𝑮𝒆𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒍’𝒔 𝑷𝒍𝒂𝒏 𝒊𝒏 𝒃𝒖𝒍𝒍𝒆𝒕 𝒑𝒐𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒔:

▪️The israeli occupation military is enacting a plan that will effectively ethnically cleanse the Palestinian population in northern Gaza after a siege that could last months.

▪️Conceived by retired israeli Major-General Giora Eiland, the plan aims to empty northern Gaza of its 400,000 residents to make way for a “closed military zone.”

▪️The plan calls for the ethnic cleansing of northern Gaza, warning that those that remain will face starvation.

▪️"The right thing to do is to inform the approximately 300,000 residents who remained in the northern Gaza Strip… we are ordering you to leave," Eiland said last month.

▪️"In a week, the entire territory of the northern Gaza Strip will become military territory."

[–] anaesidemus@hexbear.net 36 points 5 days ago

The Icelandic government ~cooperation~ exploded!

[–] Parsani@hexbear.net 37 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

Ah well, nevertheless

a-little-trolling

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[–] Parsani@hexbear.net 34 points 5 days ago

China’s real intent behind its stimulus inflection

https://www.ft.com/content/008443cd-bb44-4b4f-b60e-17894fdba221

text

Chinese equity markets have had a wild ride. Major indices surged by more than 30 per cent in the two weeks following Beijing’s September 24 economic stimulus announcement. They then fell back on fears that the stimulus might fall short.

Most likely, the markets will regain momentum once the Ministry of Finance reveals details of new fiscal spending at a press briefing on Saturday. Which sentiment is closer to the truth: euphoria or despair?

The answer is, neither. Markets were right to see the stimulus announcement as an inflection point and an opportunity to venture back into oversold Chinese assets. But they misjudged the underlying intent, which is to stabilise the economy rather than generate a major reacceleration. And they underestimated the constraints on stimulus imposed by Xi Jinping’s long-run strategy and by policymakers’ desire not to repeat past errors.

Xi’s strategic aims have not changed. He wants to shift capital from the property sector into technology-intensive manufacturing, which he sees as the basis of China’s future prosperity and power. Long-term economic growth, he believes, is driven by investment in technology, which will eventually generate high-wage jobs and rising incomes. China’s core task is not to maximise GDP growth but to create a self-sufficient, technologically powerful economy immune to efforts by the US to stunt its rise.

This programme is cogent as a national strategy, but unfriendly to financial investors. The emphasis on investment means that supply will always run ahead of demand, leading to deflationary pressure, which is bad for corporate profits. Even the favoured high-tech sectors face intense competition that will erode margins.

Xi has not retreated from this vision, but has accepted a change of tactics. The stimulus decision was driven by poor economic data including a sharp deterioration in manufacturing sales and employment, a chorus of criticism from Chinese economists, and the rising risk of protectionism against China’s exports. Short-run stabilisation is needed in order for the long-run plan to succeed. But measures will be rolled out carefully to avoid what policymakers believe were damaging mistakes in previous stimulus episodes.

One such “mistake” was the big infrastructure programme of 2008-09, which helped China recover quickly from the global financial crisis, but also began the pile-up of local-government debt, which rose from almost nothing 15 years ago to nearly 80 per cent of GDP today, including the liabilities of off-balance sheet financing vehicles. Another was Beijing’s cheerleading of a stock market bubble in 2015, which saw the CSI 300 double in a little over six months and then give up almost all its gains in two months.

Xi’s government is now determined not to overstimulate the real economy, nor to inflate another stock market bubble. The economic aims are to stabilise growth and prevent deflation from tightening its grip. The market goal is to restore enough confidence so that equity prices post steady, moderate rises. This will reopen the window for new listings and enable the stock market to resume its assigned role of financing China’s industrial policy ambitions.

This could work: Chinese policymakers have many tools, and Xi is finally allowing them to be used. But there is no evidence of a shift from the key policies undergirding Xi’s long-term vision: central control of finance and capital allocation, a tight rein on the property market, and prioritisation of investment over consumption.

Direct fiscal stimulus through the issuance of ultra long-term government bonds, if large enough, should boost growth and ward off deflation. But this new debt will refinance some local debt and subsidise households and businesses to trade in old appliances and equipment for new. Its function is to make investment more effective, not to give consumer demand a bigger role.

Similarly, the recapitalisation of the six largest state-owned banks will let them take on more risk despite record-low net interest margins. Yet it will also further entrench central control over the financial system and the allocation of capital. Mortgage deregulation will make it easier for cash-strapped families to buy houses, but does not reverse the basic decision to reduce property’s economic role.

In sum, the economy and financial returns are likely to pick up in the coming months. In the long run, though, China’s vision is unchanged: technology and self-sufficiency matter more than growth and profits.

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 70 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (6 children)

I present this graph without comment on why sanctions on russia failed

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