this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago
The Cradle: How Lebanon's resistance defied Israeli dominance, again

spoiler

In his book How the Weak Win Wars: A Theory of Asymmetric Conflict, Ivan Arreguín-Toft presents a compelling perspective on how conflicts unfold when there is a significant power imbalance. Toft argues that in asymmetric warfare, the more powerful side often ends up being defeated, not because they are outright beaten, but because they fail to achieve a decisive victory. Conversely, weaker parties win by enduring, persevering, refusing defeat, and maintaining sustained resistance. This explains how resistance movements interpret their confrontations with powerful adversaries – as seen in the Israeli war on Lebanon, where the outcome of a ceasefire, without realizing the stated objectives, left many in Israel disillusioned despite military superiority.

The Lebanese front: A force that transformed the conflict

Militarily, Hezbollah's involvement forced Israel to split its focus between Gaza and the northern border of occupied Palestine. This divide stretched Israeli forces thin, hindering their progress and complicating their strategy. Hezbollah's actions indicated that, for over a year, Israel faced a two-front battle – diverting troops and resources from Gaza to secure its northern regions. As acknowledged by The Times of Israel in August, Israel's shortage of manpower was evident, “The IDF is suffering manpower shortages caused by the hostilities on the northern border and the ongoing war in Gaza.”

This two-front struggle also stalled several planned Israeli ground operations in Gaza. The heightened tension on the northern border gave Palestinian resistance movements the time they needed to regroup and disrupt Israel's military timetable. An example of this was Israel's delay of a major ground offensive in Gaza until the US reinforced their air defenses in the area – a move attributed to fears of escalation from Lebanon.

Economic and psychological impact on Israel

The war on the Lebanese front led to severe economic losses for Israel. Israeli newspaper Walla reported in August that Hezbollah's attacks set off fires that destroyed approximately 180 dunams (around 44.5 acres) of land, including 7,500 dunams (around 1,853 acres) in the Israeli-occupied Syrian Golan Heights and 4,600 dunams (around 1,137 acres) in the Upper Galilee. Extensive devastation was seen in agricultural fields and forests, contributing to environmental and economic losses. Agriculture, a key sector in Israel's economy, was heavily affected; over 1,000 dunams (around 247 acres) of cultivated land were damaged, including avocado, pear, apple, olive, and grape plantations. The departure of Thai and Palestinian workers due to the lack of safety and security in the area further exacerbated irrigation and pest control issues, as well as overall agricultural productivity.

Israel suffered from another huge blow – mass emigration – that came as a result of the Lebanese resistance's attacks on the north. Around 62,480 settlers in Israel's north fled or were evacuated – with many choosing not to return, citing safety concerns. Moreover, as of August 2024, 4,378 claims for property damage had been filed in the north, and losses in tourism reached NIS 1.15 billion (around $320,998,164) in direct revenues, with indirect losses at over NIS 2.64 billion (around $736,900,135). Agricultural and poultry production, which represents 70 percent of Israel's chicken supply, was significantly jeopardized, raising concerns over local food security.

The resistance heavily engaged in psychological warfare against the occupation state, planting an undeniable sense of insecurity and fear among the settlers and disrupting daily life across the north. Psychological warfare waged by Hezbollah also sought to influence the awareness of Israeli leaders and civilians about the risks of confronting the Axis of Resistance forces beyond Palestine.

Hezbollah employed hybrid warfare, integrating military and non-military strategies, including cognitive warfare, to shape Israeli perceptions. This approach involves introducing and promoting narratives about the Israeli occupation that align with the resistance movement's objectives while strengthening its social media presence to amplify these views. Hezbollah also highlighted internal issues within Israel through multilingual broadcasts, videos, and media campaigns that underscore Israel's vulnerabilities. Additionally, it periodically showcases its military advancements and directly addresses the Israeli public to foster uncertainty about their security and the country's future. These diverse tactics aim to influence the morale and perceptions of the Israeli population.

From resistance to repelling aggression

Despite these notable achievements, the war between Israel and Lebanon did not lead to the end of the war on Gaza. However, the occupation army was made to pay a hefty price, strategically undermining its broader objectives. As John Mearsheimer argues in The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, objectives in warfare are dynamic, often shifting when external pressures collide with internal challenges. Israel’s campaign, which began offensively, became increasingly defensive as the focus diverted from achieving outright victory to ensuring survival.

The Lebanese front’s objective developed, too – from supporting Gaza to directly countering Israeli aggression against Lebanon. Israel initially sought to eliminate Hezbollah and establish a buffer zone along the Lebanese border, aiming to reassure northern settlers of their safety. However, these goals remained out of reach; rather than demonstrating overwhelming dominance, Israel found itself embroiled in a familiar quagmire.

Hezbollah performed an average of 23 military operations per day on Israel since the start of the war, targeting military outposts, barracks, and bases – even reaching deep into occupied Palestinian territories. This displays the resistance movement's enhanced capabilities. Moreover, Israel's ground invasion of south Lebanon, which was launched in early October, caused a lot of setbacks for the occupation forces: over 130 Israeli soldiers were killed, and 59 Merkava tanks, alongside various other military equipment, were destroyed. Despite multiple aggressive attempts to enter, Israeli forces failed to occupy any key towns in south Lebanon or to create a secure buffer zone. Hezbollah’s resilience turned what Israel had hoped would be a swift campaign into a costly ordeal, mirroring Israel’s defeat in the 2006 war.

The cost of war and the measure of victory

Modern warfare shows us that victory is not solely about inflicting the greatest losses or causing the most destruction; it is about achieving strategic goals. In conflicts like the Vietnam War or the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the weaker side's ability to endure ultimately led to victory despite overwhelming casualties and devastation. The Lebanese resistance movement demonstrated the same resilience during the July 2006 war and again now – managing to withstand Israeli attacks and preventing the occupation from meeting its strategic goals.

Wars of national liberation always come at a high cost, especially for civilians. However, this is often a prerequisite for success against a militarily superior adversary. Hezbollah’s ability to withstand Israeli pressure and sustain its operations solidified its position as a formidable opponent – proving once again that true victory lies in thwarting the enemy's stated objectives, and not in mere survival.

[–] merthyr1831@lemmy.ml 45 points 4 months ago (3 children)

Iran is apparently requesting opposition groups for safe passage out of Syria. If Iran is giving up on their land bridge to Hezbollah it's JOEVER. Homs has fallen, Heseke and Qamishlo were handed to SDF, and Damascus is basically hours or days from fighting for the presidential palace

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago

Currently in Doha, Qatar, the foreign ministers of Russia, Turkey, and Iran are discussing the situation in Syria. Syrian rebels are launching offensives in cities across the country in an effort to overthrow the regime of Bashar al-Assad.

[–] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Israel sure ain't wasting any time, dammit

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[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago (6 children)

Where can I get more info about the DPRK’s internal workings and why does the party general secretary appear hereditary?

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[–] merthyr1831@lemmy.ml 45 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (2 children)

HTS have a Pantsir AA system by the way, on top of other modern IGLA variants abandoned by the SAA. Just seen a video of them downing a Damascus govt helo.

They'll probably get some T-72s and T-90s in the coming days because the SAA rolled them up To Hama and then tried to do a blitzkrieg without any fucking fuel and left most of their tanks in pristine condition on the side of the highway.

Inb4 Turkey deploys a captured Oreshnik MRBM against Kobanê by January

EDIT: Emergency talks in Baghdad tomorrow morning to discuss a potential joint military intervention between Iran, Iraq, and Syria.

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (4 children)

A United States Navy P8 Poseidon reconnaissance aircraft is currently observing the Russia airbase in Latakia, as Russian transport aircraft continue to leave.

Iranian jets, both from Mahan Air and the IRGC, continue to also make evacuation flights. C5SKY, the private jet that was suspected to be used by the Syrian government for evacuation flights to the UAE over the past few days, was also spotted, and followed by US Air Force reconnaissance aircraft, again.

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[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (5 children)

Yo news nerds almayadeen is a good news site right? catgirl-sorry

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago

South Korea: Martial law troops storm Lee Jae-myung's office... Attempting to arrest Han Dong-hoon and Woo" -Yonhap

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (5 children)

average amerikkkka ambassador

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Several uprisings have broken out simultaneously in Daraa province in southern Syria, which borders the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. Local radicals, inspired by the victories of militants in Hama and Homs , captured several villages, took weapons and equipment from local soldiers and police, including armored vehicles and even tanks, and took them prisoner.

This region has always been problematic and was considered the "cradle of the revolution", which was brought back under control only after heavy fighting and a series of successive processes of application with the removal of the most inveterate radicals. But it is obvious that in Daraa there were still many opponents of Assad, who have now raised their heads.

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[–] Parsani@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (17 children)

Chinese economist Wen Tiejun briefly discussed MAGA Communism in his recent speech.

https://x.com/zhen_ming_/status/1864703285044892060

yes-honey-left

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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (9 children)

Well it seems this will be retired who-must-go

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[–] Parsani@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (4 children)
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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Danish Cyber Warfare Agency Crippled By Austerity

Denmark’s Center for Cybersecurity (CFCS), responsible for surveillance of citizens and defending national IT infrastructure, is grappling with severe austerity measures that threaten its operational effectiveness. The cuts come despite daily reports of cyberattacks on Danish institutions and a self-declared "very high" cyber threat level.

The austerity, driven by overspending within the Nordic hermit kingdom's scandal-ridden spy agency FE—to which CFCS belongs—has led to hiring freezes, mandatory overtime compensation through time off, and the suspension of essential activities such as inspections, international collaboration, and participation in knowledge-sharing conferences. Additionally, CFCS has canceled nearly all professional subscriptions, curbing access to vital cybersecurity developments.

The economic mismanagement stems from FE’s overestimation of future funding under a new political defense agreement, leaving the agency with a DKK 118 million budget shortfall. Despite being at a level of paranoia not seen since the Cold War, the Danish state still adheres to neoliberal budgetary orthodoxy, forcing cost-cutting across CFCS. These measures, combined with red tape and uncertainties in transferring CFCS to a new Ministry for Civil Security and Preparedness, have left the organization in disarray.

Experts warn that the cuts will hinder Denmark's ability to address cyber threats, jeopardize critical infrastructure, and risk the loss of skilled personnel.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

Vice-Chair Of Denmark's Naturalization Committee Resigns In Protest Over Racist Interviews

Helene Brydensholt, MP for the small green radlib "Alternative" party and vice-chair of the Integration and Naturalization Committee in Denmark's rubber-stamp parliament, has resigned in protest against new "mindset interviews" being conducted for the first time as part of the Danish citizenship process. These interviews target three applicants who, despite meeting all stated criteria for citizenship, have been singled out for questioning by the parliamentary committee about their "democratic mindset" due to controversial social media posts. Legal experts have warned that the interviews violates several basic legal principles and can be in violation of international law.

Read more...

Brydensholt has criticized the process as legally flawed and contrary to basic legal principles of due process and in potential violation of international conventions. She also condemned the broader naturalization process, describing it as arbitrary, driven by personal biases, and completely lacking the impartiality and objectivity expected under administrative law.

Unlike most countries, Danish citizenship is granted through a legislative process, where parliamentarians, rather than administrators, decide individual cases. As a consequence usual legal standards established in administrative law does not apply which has allowed fascist parties like the "Danish People's Party" to weaponize naturalization, disregarding principles of fairness and using it to inflame racist and xenophobic sentiments. Over the past two decades, they and their numerous imitators of which the ruling Social Democrats can be found have systematically tightened citizenship rules and promoted narratives that vilify ethnic minorities. The new interviews are the latest offshoot of this process presumably meant to make sure that, in the words of Danish People's Party spokesman Mikkel Bjørn "terror sympathizers and criminals" are not granted citizenship.

The interviews has drawn criticism from legal experts and the civil service for disregarding basic procedural safeguards, such as the right to know the basis of accusations, applicants' right to case information and the right to legal representation. Brydensholt resigned after the committee decided to push forward with the interviews despite civil servants warned that the interviews lacked sufficient legal grounding.

One applicant was singled out to have his "democratic mindset" questioned by the hostile committee as the result of a homophobic pro-Islamic post on Facebook. Instances like these are the only time the Danish People's Party, who have been dragging their feet at every tiny progress for LGBTQ rights, care about homophobia. They only care about gay rights when they can be used as a cudgel against Muslims.

[–] Lester_Peterson@hexbear.net 43 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Machine translated tweet by IDF military correspondent

Increased military preparedness in the Golan Heights area: Following the fall of the Assad regime - the IDF and the Northern Command launched an attack in the buffer zone in the Quneitra area, in order to strengthen the defense of the border.

In accordance with the assessment of the situation by the Northern Command and the Home Front Command, it was decided that in the four Druze communities in the Golan Heights there will be no school classes today. Learning will be allowed in kindergartens. In the rest of the Golan Heights, classes are taking place as usual.

The IDF is deploying checkpoints along the Golan Heights. Movement in the area will be restricted as necessary. All agricultural areas adjacent to the Syrian border have been declared a closed military area, and farmers' entry there will be restricted.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 43 points 4 months ago (3 children)

No changes to the force posture of U.S. Forces Korea (USFK). -Pentagon Press Secretary Maj. General Pat Ryde. Pentagon: No posture changes within North Korea with the ongoing turmoil in South Korea

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[–] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 43 points 4 months ago (17 children)

The loss of Syria creates a countdown for Hezbollah's collapse, probably a year or two, maybe even three, logistics is the god of war and cut off from Iranian supplies while simultaneously fighting off HTS/Israeli attacks and the political maneuvering of the French elites in Beirut is not something any org no matter how internally cohesive can sustain forever, and the new reality in Syria is definitely the beginning of a decades long process, which is too long for a Leningrad style siege

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[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 43 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (6 children)

Hey comrades, what the hell is this bazooka?

Vs what a Yassin looks like

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[–] totalyNOTaPIRATE@hexbear.net 43 points 4 months ago

Nazi Germany Amnesty International says: "Treblinka,Sobibor? Never heard of"

Amnesty International’s Israel branch has distanced itself from the rights group’s allegation that Israel was committing “genocide” in Gaza, but said “serious crimes” were potentially taking place that needed investigation.

The local branch, which operates as a separate charity from the international organisation, said in a statement: “While the Israeli section of Amnesty International does not accept the accusation that Israel is committing genocide, based on the information available to us, we are concerned that serious crimes are being committed in Gaza, that must be investigated.” Israeli soldiers in the southern Gaza Strip Israel’s war in Gaza amounts to genocide, Amnesty International report finds Read more

The 296-page report, examining events in Gaza between October 2023 to July 2024, found that Israel had “brazenly, continuously and with total impunity … unleashed hell” on the strip’s 2.3 million population, noting that the “atrocity crimes” against Israelis by Hamas on 7 October 2023, which triggered the war, “do not justify genocide”.

While its publication was largely welcomed by Palestinians and humanitarian groups, it was met with fury in Israel. “The deplorable and fanatical organisation Amnesty International has produced a fabricated report that is entirely false and based on lies,” Israel’s foreign ministry said in a statement.

The United States said it disagreed with the conclusions of the report. “We have said previously and continue to find that the allegations of genocide are unfounded,” State Department spokesman Vedant Patel told reporters.

Multiple attempts to broker a ceasefire and hostage release deal in the war in Gaza, now raging for 14 months, have failed, although mediator Qatar said on Thursday it would resume its role, raising tentative hopes that progress could be made in fresh negotiations.

Egypt, another major mediator, has put forward a proposal involving a temporary ceasefire lasting 45-60 days, with a staged hostage release and prisoner swap. A Hamas delegation met with Egyptian negotiators in Cairo earlier this week, and Israel is considering sending its own delegation in the next few days – the most movement on talks since the last round collapsed in August.

The Egyptian proposal also suggests that the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority take control of the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt, which Israel seized in May, and a substantial increase in the supply of aid. An average of 50 trucks entered Gaza through the Kerem Shalom crossing with Israel in November, UN data shows. Aid agencies say at least 500 are needed to meet the population’s needs amid a dire humanitarian crisis and the approach of winter.

In Gaza, at least 39 people were killed by Israeli fire in the preceding 24 hours, according to medics, including at least 20 who died when an overnight airstrike set alight cooking gas canisters and tents tents housing displaced families in what Israel has dubbed a “humanitarian zone”. Israel said the strike targeted senior Hamas operatives, whom it did not identify.

Other Israeli strikes reported on Thursday hit Gaza City, where medics said an airstrike destroyed a house where an extended family had taken shelter and damaged two nearby homes, killing at least three people.

Residents searched for loved ones and belongings among the charred wreckage in Mawasi, a coastal area in the south of the strip, where hundreds of thousands of people have been forced to seek shelter.

At a funeral for those killed in Mawasi in nearby Khan Younis, Abu Anas Mustafa told Reuters that the Amnesty report was “a victory for Palestinian diplomacy”, although he said it “came late”.

“It is the 430th day of the war today, and Israel has been carrying out massacres and a genocide from the first 10 days of the war,” he said.

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