this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Image is of Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia and the fastest sinking city in the world. A new capital is being built elsewhere in Indonesia.


I was going to make Indonesia the COTW anyway (unless something really massive happened somewhere else) due to the elections that might really designate the end of an era in Indonesian politics. Michael Roberts wrote up a big piece on Indonesia about a week ago, one day before the election began, so a lot of this information is coming from him.


Indonesia has been ruled by President Joko Widodo for 10 years, but is now barred from a third term constitutionally. Under his presidency, the Indonesian economy has seen fairly good GDP growth overall - about 5% per year, or an average of 4% per capita - and is broadly popular with the electorate. The biggest problems are the common ones, such as a lack of jobs and a high cost of living. Widodo's successors have naturally promised more jobs and an economic plan that clearly draws at least some inspiration from China's rise from the periphery to the heights of the world economy and manufacturing, but this seems pretty unlikely for Indonesia because, well, Indonesia is ruled by capitalist bourgeoisie parties and China is not. Indonesia's main gigs are palm oil, nickel ore, and oil, with internal manufacturing of these primary commodities only slowly growing and reliant on foreign labour.

Indonesia has a rather big employment problem. On the face of it, things don't seem bad, with an unemployment rate of only 5% - but this is only because it counts anybody who works even a couple hours per week. 60% of the workers in Indonesia are in the informal sector, with no real labour rights, sick pay, or guaranteed wages. And half of the ~8 million unemployed are young people. Indonesia is the sixth most unequal country on the planet, with at least 36% of the population in poverty, and the four richest men own as much as the bottom 100 million. This was a natural consequence of the policies of the dictator Suharto, who came to power in a coup overthrowing the communist nationalist leader Sukarno and killing one million communists, a period covered by Bevin's The Jakarta Method. At a fundamental level, not that much has changed since Suharto, and the country seems doomed to a path of slowing economic growth and massive amounts of environmental degradation under a plundering elite who will presumably fly off to New Zealand with the rest of them once the seas swallow the country, unless a communist movement can be rebuilt from ashes and can learn the lessons of 1965-66.

Though results have yet to be officially announced, it seems that 72-year-old Prabowo Subianto is overwhelmingly likely to have handily won the election. Once banned from the United States for human rights violations - a truly phenomenal feat - he has been the Minister of Defense since 2019, was an army lieutenant under Suharto and was his son-in-law. While this is obviously a particularly bad outcome, none of the other candidates seemed likely to fundamentally alter the trajectory of Indonesia, so the game was rigged from the start.


The Country of the Week is Indonesia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] zed_proclaimer@hexbear.net 42 points 9 months ago (8 children)

Anyone have a concise source for debunking the Uighur genocide propaganda? Friend is interested in taking a look at it but I don’t want to send them a million different articles to make inferences from

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 42 points 9 months ago

Is the Standoff at Eagle Pass still going or did they stop pretending something was going to happen?

[–] thirtymilliondeadfish@hexbear.net 41 points 9 months ago (3 children)
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[–] edge@hexbear.net 41 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

I've been seeing a bit about Cape independence from South Africa. As an outsider (American) with not much knowledge, it initially sounds like it would just be white South Africans being racist, but supposedly a lot of Cape Coloureds (I feel really uncomfortable saying that, but that seems to be the term) want independence too. Anyone know more about this?

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 41 points 9 months ago (3 children)

US proposes UN Security Council to oppose Rafah attack - CNBC

The United States has proposed an alternative draft United Nations Security Council resolution calling for a temporary ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war and opposing a major Israeli ground offensive in Rafah in southern Gaza, according to the text seen by Reuters on Monday.

Washington has been averse to the word ceasefire in any U.N. action on the Israel-Hamas war, but the U.S. draft text echoes language that President Joe Biden said he used last week in conversations with Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The U.S. draft text “determines that under current circumstances a major ground offensive into Rafah would result in further harm to civilians and their further displacement including potentially into neighboring countries.”

Israel plans to storm Rafah, where more than 1 million of the 2.3 million Palestinians in Gaza have sought shelter, prompting international concern that such a move would sharply worsen the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

The draft U.S. resolution says such a move “would have serious implications for regional peace and security, and therefore underscores that such a major ground offensive should not proceed under current circumstances.”

I>t was not immediately clear when or if the draft resolution would be put to a vote in the 15-member council. A resolution needs at least nine votes in favor and no vetoes by the United States, France, Britain, Russia or China to be adopted.

The U.S. put forward the text after Algeria on Saturday requested the council vote on Tuesday on its draft resolution, which would demand an immediate humanitarian ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war. U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Linda Thomas-Greenfield quickly signaled that it would be vetoed.

Rejects buffer zone

Algeria put forward an initial draft resolution more than two weeks ago. But Thomas-Greenfield said the text could jeopardize “sensitive negotiations” on hostages. The U.S., Egypt, Israel and Qatar are seeking to negotiate a pause in the war and the release of hostages held by Hamas.

Washington traditionally shields its ally Israel from U.N. action and has twice vetoed council resolutions since Oct. 7. But it has also abstained twice, allowing the council to adopt resolutions that aimed to boost aid to Gaza and called for urgent and extended humanitarian pauses in fighting.

The draft U.S. text would condemn calls by some Israeli government ministers for Jewish settlers to move to Gaza and would reject any attempt at demographic or territorial change in Gaza that would violate international law.

The resolution would also reject “any actions by any party that reduce the territory of Gaza, on a temporary or permanent basis, including through the establishment officially or unofficially of so-called buffer zones, as well as the widespread, systematic demolition of civilian infrastructure.”

Reuters reported in December that Israel told several Arab states that it wants to carve out a buffer zone inside Gaza’s borders to prevent attacks as part of proposals for the enclave after the war ends.

The war began when fighters from the Hamas militant group that runs Gaza attacked Israel on Oct. 7, killing 1,200 people and capturing 253 hostages, according to Israeli tallies. In retaliation, Israel launched a military assault on Gaza that health authorities say has killed more than 28,000 Palestinians with thousands more bodies feared lost amid the ruins.

In December, more than three-quarters of the 193-member U.N. General Assembly voted to demand an immediate humanitarian ceasefire. General Assembly resolutions are not binding but carry political weight, reflecting a global view on the war.

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has long called for a humanitarian ceasefire in Gaza. U.N. aid chief Martin Griffith warned last week that military operations in Rafah “could lead to a slaughter.”

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 41 points 9 months ago

Subject of 2 indictments, with his passport confiscated by the Federal Police, Jair Bolsonaro has called on his followers to join him in an anti Supreme Court protest on S. Paulo's Paulista avenue today - a location which has tens of thousands of people on it anyway on Sundays

Worried that national protests would flop, Bolsonaro is holding a single protest, & allies have bused supporters in from across country. Paulista avenue is closed to cars on Sundays and is a major recreation spot. It's easy to artificially inflate protest crowd sizes there.

Nevertheless, polls show that around 18% of the electorate are still fanatical Bolsonaro supporters. That's over 20 million people. Thousands of people will participate in the protest today, including conservatives who were planning to go to Av. Paulista anyway.

He's going there just to say that he is 100% innocent. Imagine going in the hot sun just to hear some random old guy screams about lulocommunism or whatever. yells-at-cloud

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 41 points 9 months ago

Ancap Update: ancaptain

The General Workers' Confederation of Argentina has announced a 24-hour general strike with health care workers on February 22. The strike was announced by Hector Daer, CGT union leader.

[–] Egon@hexbear.net 41 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (8 children)

The Danish police have concluded their investigations into the Nord Stream explosions. Their conclusion? It was sabotage shocked-pikachu
https://politi.dk/koebenhavns-politi/nyhedsliste/the-joint-investigation-into-nord-stream-explosions-has-been-concluded/2024/02/26

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[–] emizeko@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (10 children)

hey, anybody wonder what would happen if a resistance fighter targeted an IOF helicopter that was landing with a Yassin-105

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (5 children)

Two Danish members of the EU parliament are sad about being discriminated against. More precisely they're sad about not being considered for royal orders and decorations the way members of the national parliament are. The two, who comes from the succdems and the Liberal Party has therefore petitioned the king to also include MEP's in future awards.

Earlier this year the succdem party abandoned it's policy of not accepting royal orders.

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (1 children)
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[–] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (5 children)

How many of those Russian A-50 AWACS planes have Ukraine claimed to have shot down? Three or four? There was the one on the ground in Belarus that Ukraine attacked, then they claimed to shoot one down (with no evidence presented other than another plane landing with damage) and now they've claimed to shoot down another one, with video of a plane on fire crashing into the Azov sea. Does anyone know if they actually shot these planes down, or is it the usual Ukrainian propaganda similar to the ghost of Kiev?

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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (5 children)

Naval Warfare is finally gonna be interesting again

Edit: Lol I should look up to make sure I'm using the right version of the word. This language sucks.

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[–] keepcarrot@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago (1 children)

omg, the avatar TV show is out. Dare I watch it? Will it live up to M Night Shamyalan's vision? (this bit gets funnier the longer I don't watch the OG cartoon)

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[–] WIIHAPPYFEW@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago (4 children)
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[–] zed_proclaimer@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Looks like bloons are back on the menu boys 🙈 🎯

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