Tarkov_Survivor

joined 2 years ago
[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 2 months ago

Oh I understand the need to be skeptical, much criticism is unprincipled and opportunistic. I know that these criticisms that I have raised are not being covered outside the country and received little attention here either.

The debate is illustrative of the failure to clearly offer an alternative to the failed model the country is currently following. If you understand Spanish and want to see why we lost, just go watch the debate - Luisa attacked Noboa but failed to offer a clear plan for how she'd do better, when asked about her economic plans she said "she'd eliminate corruption" and then launched into another attack on Noboa for his corrupt acts. If she was a new candidate with no baggage this may have worked, but the media have spent the last 18 years tying the party to acts of corruption.

Rafael Correa has a talk show, where a week before the election he decided to talk about the inevitable downfall of the dollar in the world with Ricardo Patiño - they were correct in their analysis but the thing was taken out of context and to the average low information voter - all that was heard, is these people want to take our dollars away. Give the 96% approval of dollarization in Ecuador this was a massive communicational error.

Many mistakes were made. Blaming it all on the fraud will not help us. Even if we could prove we should have won, which we don't have enough evidence for yet, we still couldn't overturn the results because Noboa has control of the electoral authorities and courts.

Unfortunately we must accept the reality and make plans for the future. Powercuts and privatization are on the horizon, it's a grim time and crying about fraud isn't going to energize anyone except the base.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 2 months ago (3 children)

I live in Ecuador, I wanted Luisa to win, I campaigned for her.

The anti gay adoption and anti trans education letter can be seen here: https://www.vistazo.com/politica/elecciones-ecuador-2025/2025-03-11-segunda-vuelta-ecuador-daniel-noboa-luisa-gonzalez-rechazan-ideologia-genero-FM8943016

The segment of the debate where she said she'd recognize Maduro to deport Venezuelans can be seen here: https://youtube.com/shorts/wiSuQI7QE9Y

I supported Luisa and the Citizens Revolution Party because they previously renegotiated oil contracts to increase state revenue and they gave us massive infrastructure spending, tripled the minimum wage and the country benefitted hugely from their administration.

Noboa is a failure and a tool of the imperialists, an amerikan citizen himself, he's overseen a doubling of the crime rate and given impunity to the military for its actions massacring civilians in Nueva Prosperina and Socio Vivienda, marginal neighborhoods of Guayaquil. Noboa plans to sell off state oil production for personal gain and this will permanently damage Ecuador's development prospects.

I understand the consequences of this election first hand, I have lived here since the beginning of Rafael Correa's administration, I saw a country move forward for a decade and I've suffered the consequences of the last eight years of maladministration.

I want to see the left regain power, I want the peace and moderate prosperity we enjoyed under the left to return. But I am also willing to criticise my own side for the obviously failed strategy of attempting to move right on certain issues.

I am a Correista, I support Rafael Correa, the man who gave us a constitution with universal citizenship and openness to people from all parts of the world to come here and enjoy an equality under the law - something that I benefitted from as a migrant. To see the party candidate proclaim an intention to deport Venezuelans was a betrayal. If we are going to regain power, we must recognize our mistakes. Fraud it was, but the support for Noboa is not entirely fictional, the rejection of the project by millions of Ecuadorians is real, we must deal with these issues so we can hope to regain the presidency.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 2 months ago (5 children)

Luisa González received less votes than she did in the first round despite a deal with the third placed candidate and their party.

300k more people voted despite the removal of the obligation to vote in the coastal region.

The unsigned vote totals from polling stations in the electoral authority database are clear evidence of fraud.

I'm willing to accept that Noboa may have won but the margin of victory is not believable.

But we must be willing to engage in criticism of our movement. Luisa engaged in dangerous xenophobic rhetoric in the last few weeks, justifying her intention to recognize Maduro with a declared intent to deport undocumented Venezuelan migrants. Both candidates signed a letter of intent to prohibit gay adoption and trans education. She failed to make clear the significance of plans by Noboa to sell off state oil production.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 1 points 4 months ago

They're not MLs, at best they're Marxist informed sucdems. But they did a decent job of improving material conditions for the poor, poverty and infant malnutrition went down under Correa's administration, he took national control of the oil, he built highways and schools and hospitals, minimum wage tripled, it was a good time for 98% of Ecuadorians, even those who didn't like him benefited.

Unfortunately Correa is fucking shit up right now. Iza was making strong signals he'd endorse Luisa and then Rafael said some dumb shit on Twitter and put salt into some old wounds. Fuck knows what's going to happen now. If Luisa doesn't fix this today or tomorrow we probably going to lose. Even if we somehow win we need Pachakutic to govern in the Assemblea. So pissed right now.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Luisa will win the second round. Noboa won with 52 vs 48% last time. His year and a half of government has been a disaster, he's lost votes and Luisa has only gone up.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 4 months ago

Over reliance on hydro? That's really not the full story. Ecuador has back up diesel/gas generators for such possibilities of drought but unfortunately 8 years of right wing government left the backups rusty and inoperable. Electric demand has grown in the last 8 years but there's been zero investment in new capacity.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 4 months ago

We had 3 months of upto 14 hour blackouts daily and barely a mention in foreign press, but Cuba had a day without electricity and lots of coverage

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 7 months ago

Not really, they're passing the issue onto the icj so that they can do nothing meanwhile.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 36 points 1 year ago (6 children)

Everything I don't like is done by the Russians or the Chinese, I am very smart and not a racist

They have a decent reason to do so, but that doesn't preclude escalation.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 1 year ago

That's great news comrade.

[–] Tarkov_Survivor@lemmygrad.ml 15 points 1 year ago

On the bright side, everyone from Milei to Canel and even the Oas are united against Ecuador over this issue.

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