It's literally an existential war for Iran.
and they've also spent a chunk of their patriot interceptors in Ukraine
yeah the math doesn't work for Israel here
these two books give excellent historical context on China
- The East Is Still Red Chinese Socialism In The 21st Century https://archive.org/details/the-east-is-still-red-chinese-socialism-in-the-21st-century
- People's China at 75 – The Flag Stays Red https://redletterspp.com/products/peoples-china-at-75
seconded, excellent analysis in the book
If somebody doesn't cater to the west do they even exist?
I think he will in the end, but he's clearly worried about the political fallout of all out war with Iran.
There's a whole policy article from August 2021 advocating inflicting a military defeat on Russia in Ukraine to subjugate it and draw it away from China, this was openly discussed https://nationalinterest.org/feature/strategy-avoiding-two-front-war-192137
It really makes sense to think of Iran and Ukraine as two fronts of the same war.
I don't think Iran will crumble.
My bet they're gonna blame Iran.
It could be the straw that breaks the camel's back.