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The gamble is that Russia will pull troops from the front in Ukraine, to protect that northern border. But I guess we'll see how that pans out
Bad gamble on basic math, Russia has enough arms and troops to maintain the current line of contact, stop this push, and keep healthy reserves.
I mean, if it's like any other Ukrainian strategy, not very well
If anything won't this allow Russia to mobilize more troops now that Russian territory is being attacked? I'm just a random dumbass so take this with a grain of salt but to me it seems like this incursion will be short term gains at the cost of medium-long term losses for the Ukrainians.
Russia isn’t mobilizing more troops but they are utilizing reserves they would otherwise not have used in the war such as counter-terrorist forces, national guard, conscripts, local police, etc.
Most of Kursk will be cleaned up by irregulars like this after the Russian airforce destroys all the heavy equipment
well that was a stupid gamble because Russia hasn't done that and has much vaster reserves than Ukraine and can match them all day long while still overwhelming them in Donbas