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No, not directly, but if Trump loses NC's electoral votes, it will be very difficult for him to get to 270. It may be the most R-leaning state of all the toss-ups, so if he loses that he'll need to make up ground in the other states that are not as friendly to him.
Yep, it's the most R of them.
He shouldn’t be so sure that he’ll win Florida in this election cycle, either. Not to mention the congressional seats are pretty wishy-washy.
I think he's got FL but tx could be WILD if women come out in force.
FL also has recreational weed and abortion rights on their ballot this election. I'm not necessarily holding my breath, but those could help push their left-leaning voter turnout.
Harris winning Texas is a very unlikely event, as much as I'd like to see it. I'd be happy if exit polling is ~Trump +1, and they can't call the state before midnight. A narrow Trump victory would still change the national conversation around Texas significantly