this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2024
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On October 9th, Daniel Chapo won the Mozambique general election with about 70% of the vote. Chapo is the head of FRELIMO, the Marxist-Leninist party of Mozambique's liberation, which fought an internal anti-communist resistance called RENAMO which was backed by Rhodesia and apartheid South Africa; Frelimo won in 1975. However, as the USSR fell, Frelimo began to allow elections inside Mozambique, and has ruled the country with significant majorities in each election ever since.

The main opposition party inside Mozambique is Podemos, which is led by Venancio Mondlane, a former member of Renamo and trained inside the USA. He alleges that his polling figures predicted a majority win for him, not Frelimo, and has accused Chapo of electoral fraud. There have been the usual slogans about how they yearn for freedom. The EU, of course, "witnessed irregularities." As @WilsonWilson@hexbear.net has pointed out, Mozambique has massive undeveloped gas fields and is outsourcing the development process to France, Norway, the UK, and the USA, while mysterious Islamist groups have popped up to cause chaos in the exact regions which have the gas, slowing the process of actually developing those gas fields. Overall, it appears to be a cookie-cutter colour revolution attempt by the imperial core designed to install a comprador for cheaper resources. Its proximity to BRICS+ member South Africa may also be significant, noting the colour revolution in Bangladesh earlier this year exerting influence near India and China.

Protestors have been battling against the police and government since late October, resulting in dozens of deaths and injuries as well as massive disruption, as the government has intermittently blocked access to the internet and social media. As of today, calm appears to be returning, with border crossings beginning to reopen.


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[–] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 11 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (1 children)

Found an article it, but apparently an Anti Ship Ballistic Missile came in on a depressed trajectory without warning and landed a few hundred metres from the aircraft carrier. The flexibility of a warhead that is a Maneuverable Re-entry Vehicle (MaRV) allows for flying skip and glide trajectories/pull up manoeuvres to avoid detection by early warning radars, and stay out of the engagement zones of ballistic missile defence systems.

https://ctc.westpoint.edu/a-draw-is-a-win-the-houthis-after-one-year-of-war/

By achieving closer shadowing of target vessels (see “Tactical Evolution” below), the Houthis appear to be reducing the time-in-flight limitation of their long-range strike systems (which can exceed 100 minutes for a drone flying 300 kilometers, during which time a ship can move by as much as 75 kilometers).Houthi missiles and drones may carry terminal guidance systems—certainly semi-active radar homing for anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs), also electro-optical cameras in UAVs,100 and possibly (though this is unconfirmed) some form of guidance system in some ASBMs as well. The combination of wide-area surveillance, close-in target shadowing, and terminal guidance has allowed the Houthis to achieve some impressive feats of marksmanship, such as an apparent near-miss on a U.S. aircraft carrier [ak] and a number of hits or very close misses by ASBMs on ships approximately 150-200 kilometers from launch points. [al]

[ak] By some accounts, an ASBM or other missile arrived at a very shallow trajectory, with minimal warning, without a chance for interception, and splashing down around 200 meters from the Eisenhower. Details gathered from interviews with Yemen-focused U.S. and U.K. intelligence officers for this study. Names of interviewees, and dates and places of interviews withheld at interviewees’ request. The Houthis propagandized the carrier’s departure. See “America’s withdrawal from the Red Sea confirms the fall of the myth of Washington’s great power,” Sabant – Saba Agency, May 1, 2024.

For instance: Tavvishi (June 8, hit by single ASBM); Captain Paris (June 16, two within 100m); MSC Sarah V (June 24, first and only shot within 50m); Delonix (June 28, three within 200m); Bentley 1 (July 1, four under 100m ending with a hit); Groton (August 3, four within 50m, including one hit); and Groton again (August 30, two within 100m). Maritime Spotlight data.

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 3 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago) (1 children)

Getting that close while being undetected is an impressive feat but isn't the 200m error still too much to be practical if you actually want to kill a ship? Even if we assume that 200m is the maximum margin of error, that still leaves a potential area of impact made up of a lot of "not ship" in relation to the amount of ship. Wouldn't the chance of getting an actual hit be very low?

[–] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 1 points 35 minutes ago* (last edited 26 minutes ago)

Yeah it's not accurate enough, but hitting a moving target with a ballistic missile, even a MaRV capable missile, is quite difficult. The kill chain is quite complicated. For instance China plan to use the radars from their AWACS aircraft to provide guidance for their ASBMs. That's a capability Ansar Allah don't have. They've achieved direct hits on transport ships, but no hits on military ships so far. The exchange of fire between Ansar Allah and the US Navy and Marines between the 9-10 November was probably the most sophisticated attack of the conflict so far, the US had to deploy the F-35C in its combat debut to ensure safe passage of two ships. The radar of the F-35 can link up with their ships AEGIS defence system's radar to improve it's rate of interception. So the US is having to use it's most advanced capabilities to ensure safe passage of it's ships.