this post was submitted on 28 Dec 2024
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chapotraphouse

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Top decile probability of death is 55 % over a decade or roughly 0.5 % per month. Thus, biden has 1 month to croak and trumpo has a year to croak, which leads to (1-0.995)*0.95+0.995=...=0.025% chance or 1 in 4000 for both to occur.

https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2020/us-mort-rate-socioeconomic/

(the website data is more interesting than low probability of success)

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[โ€“] TheLepidopterists@hexbear.net 15 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Should have posted this horseshit in doomer, you'll never take my hope away (at least until 1/20/25)

biaoqing-copium

EDIT: You can pry my

whywhywhywhywhy jokermala trump-anguish :we-somehow-lack-a-Vance-emoji: from my cold dead hands

[โ€“] Infamousblt@hexbear.net 17 points 2 weeks ago

The fact that we don't have a Vance emoji speaks volumes about him tbh