this post was submitted on 28 Dec 2024
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chapotraphouse

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Top decile probability of death is 55 % over a decade or roughly 0.5 % per month. Thus, biden has 1 month to croak and trumpo has a year to croak, which leads to (1-0.995)*0.95+0.995=...=0.025% chance or 1 in 4000 for both to occur.

https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2020/us-mort-rate-socioeconomic/

(the website data is more interesting than low probability of success)

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[โ€“] miz@hexbear.net 29 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
[โ€“] KurtVonnegut@hexbear.net 14 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

History repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as old farts.

old farts

are they fermented?

[โ€“] Erika3sis@hexbear.net 21 points 2 weeks ago

So you're telling me there's a chance?

[โ€“] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 16 points 2 weeks ago

Someone might have to take matters into their own hands... illegal-to-say

[โ€“] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 15 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

No one said the expirations needed be natural.

[โ€“] plinky@hexbear.net 10 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

But dems also researched immortal phylactery tech for presidents, so i think it evens out

[โ€“] TheLepidopterists@hexbear.net 15 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Should have posted this horseshit in doomer, you'll never take my hope away (at least until 1/20/25)

biaoqing-copium

EDIT: You can pry my

whywhywhywhywhy jokermala trump-anguish :we-somehow-lack-a-Vance-emoji: from my cold dead hands

[โ€“] Infamousblt@hexbear.net 17 points 2 weeks ago

The fact that we don't have a Vance emoji speaks volumes about him tbh

[โ€“] barrbaric@hexbear.net 13 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

It's not Joever till it's Joever.

Also surely the multiple Trump assassination attempts have to raise his odds a fair bit.

His diet is praxis tbh

[โ€“] REgon@hexbear.net 11 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

It can still happen but in a different way. Carter could die at any moment. Bill is in the hospital. We've got a few days left for Biden to stumble his way to death and Trump to get shot. Year of 4 dead presidents is also something

[โ€“] plinky@hexbear.net 4 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Carter could die at any moment.

soviet-hmm so like did you go for a run, or what's up with that?

[โ€“] REgon@hexbear.net 2 points 2 weeks ago

Hahaha yeah I did

[โ€“] bennieandthez@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 weeks ago

i envy that timeline