this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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PR is a non-starter for the liberals, their party would completely disappear if they passed it. That's why they sabotaged/killed it even though they promised last time.
The NDP couldn't push it through even if they wanted, all it would have done is forced an election into the Conservatives.
This. PR is a death knell for the bigger parties and they'll fight it. Maybe. Mayyyybe that can be pushed for RCV. But I think Mr Singh didn't have the poker hand for that and needed to play for dental framework instead. Continuing on that would have been great, but he overplayed his hand as it was and set Justin on the election course.
This time, if Mark wins the big bag and runs majority, we'll see lots of minor improvements but nothing glamorous: his people will keep any big gains in the war chest and/or spent immediately on an independent euro-connected peacekeeper force.
We're gonna see real estate shenanigans, though, same as cons, with bungalow boondoggles and sprawl for quick cheap housing to satisfy the numbers, and it'll be a long time before we can claw ourselves farther away from the same Muni economic brink that Detroit fell over with its unsustainable bungalow sprawl. But keep in mind almost no one has a good plan to get good, dense, walkable mixed-use tower housing linked to trains because that's a project with excellent returns at a pace too slow for the protestors. If Mark does anything foundational for that it'll be noise amid the effort to placate the short-thinkers and stay in power for a better term next time.
We're gonna see a lot of younger voters looking for the whizbang change the cons offer, not understanding the whole story, the motivations, and the history of every other time we got onboard there. Harper.
But if we can get steady gains, if we can improve ancillary healthcare coverage like the last term, if we can start the ground work for RCV which is more appealing to the incumbent giants, then we could see that in 5 years as a hard promise.
In those 5 years we need to teach kids what "the whole truth" looked like under Mr Harper and see whether they like the side of the box with the nutrient value - mmm, riboflavin - as much as the front of the box with the splashy graphics the offer of the free prize inside.
I'm not sold on PP/PR, and I understand RCV to help liberals more, but I disagree that LPC would do poorly under PP.
The Liberals only benefit from various PR type options if we assume that new parties wouldn't form and only the existing parties are competing.
That wouldn't be the case.
Doesn't matter in the end though. I think Liberals have a large enough conservative (status quo) voterbase among WASPy city population that they would always be an at least German SDP level party, forming coalition governments left and right.
And if not, well, they've been the "default party of Canada" for long enough.