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My on the ground reporting beats your nothing. But here's some data for you. The Arab American Anti-Discrimination Committee and the Truth Project asked 36,139 Arab Americans and “allied voters” "Who are you voting for in November?" 2,196 people responded. Here are the results:
2% Trump
7% Biden
25% Jill Stein
20% Cornell West
19% Undecided
23% Uncommitted
3% Stay home
A poll published at the end of October 2023 found "only 17% of Arab American voters saying they will vote for Biden in 2024—a staggering drop from 59% in 2020."
Then a couple weeks ago a NYT poll "found Trump leading among registered Middle Eastern, North African or Muslim voters in the swing states, with 57 percent saying they were planning to back him in November. Only 25 percent said they were supporting Biden."
Have an upvote for bringing receipts. It's noteworthy that the NYT poll mentions this however:
"However, Biden still held a lead over those voters who participated in the 2020 election, winning them 56 to 35 percent."
Regardless, I do concede your point. I'm interested in seeing how polls develop as we get closer to the election and the conflict continues. If Trump continues to open his mouth and express even deeper support for Israel and persecuting pro Palestinian protestors, the numbers may shift dramatically.
I hope that they do, at least.
I think things could change pretty quickly if a ceasefire is reached, and reached before another 35,000 people die. If this is still going on when the fall semester begins, it's going to be ugly.
A ceasefire is crucial. The only one who's against one from what I can tell is Netanyahu. The war isn't really doing anything, and I believe IDF commanders have said as much. The Israeli government has elements that believe they need to outright leave Gaza and just make sure there's a new governing body there that isn't Hamas. The Israeli people seem very pissed about the hostages still being hostage as well.
Combined with US pressure, I think we will see a ceasefire that looks to get the hostages returned and the violence to stop. Pressure is continuously building in that direction, and Netanyahu is obliviously making it more and more likely.
Let's hope there's a ceasefire and the beginning of aid and rebuilding. I think everyone left of center wants this to be over.
I appreciate the discussion we've had, and I'm sorry for being rude to you earlier.
I certainly hope you're right.
No worries! I get the frustration.
You're a good person, thanks :)